气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on the water balance of Issyk-Kul Lake through its main catchments

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DOI	10.3389/frwa.2024.1363039
	Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on the water balance of Issyk-Kul Lake through its main catchments
	Uwamahoro, Solange; Liu, Tie; Nzabarinda, Vincent; Li, Zheng yang; Umugwaneza, Adeline; Maniraho, Albert Poponi; Kayumba, Patient Mindje; Gulakhmadov, Aminjon; Anming, Bao; Abdullaev, Farkhod
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2624-9375
起始页码	6
卷号	6
英文摘要	Lake Issyk-Kul is an endorheic lake in arid Central Asia that is vital to the region's ecological sustainability and socio-economic development. Climate change and anthropogenic water consumption led to fluctuations in the lake's water level, which affected the water resource. The goal of this study was to examine the impacts of climate change and human activities on the Issyk-Kul water balance by combining the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) scenarios with hydrological modeling. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to incorporate signals of future precipitation and temperature changes. According to the scenarios, the total discharge of the three catchments showed an overall increasing trend with a maximum value of 28.02%. The snow and ice-melt water from March to August was revealed, and the increasing trends only occurred from March to May, with the snow and ice melting peak variations ranging from 0.5% to 2%. The high increase in change appeared in northern catchment of the lake. There was an exceptional upward precipitation trend over the northern catchment, with annual increases ranging from 0.7 to 14.5%, and an average annual temperature of 1.72 degrees C. With slight similarities, the total runoff would increase for all catchments, with an average annual value of 10.6%. The northern catchment was significantly more sensitive to precipitation and warming than the southeastern catchments. Under land use land cover change, average annual discharge decreased with agricultural expansion, with discharge differences ranging from -0.005 to -1.06 m3/s. The findings are useful for decision-makers addressing the challenges of climate change mitigation and local water resource management.
英文关键词	climate change; human activities; SWAT model; land use and land cover; Shared Socioeconomic Pathways; Issyk-Kul Lake
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
WOS类目	Water Resources
WOS记录号	WOS:001181473100001
来源期刊	FRONTIERS IN WATER
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308967
作者单位	Chinese Academy of Sciences; Xinjiang Institute of Ecology & Geography, CAS; Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS; Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS; Chinese Academy of Sciences
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Uwamahoro, Solange,Liu, Tie,Nzabarinda, Vincent,et al. Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on the water balance of Issyk-Kul Lake through its main catchments[J],2024,6.
APA	Uwamahoro, Solange.,Liu, Tie.,Nzabarinda, Vincent.,Li, Zheng yang.,Umugwaneza, Adeline.,...&Abdullaev, Farkhod.(2024).Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on the water balance of Issyk-Kul Lake through its main catchments.FRONTIERS IN WATER,6.
MLA	Uwamahoro, Solange,et al."Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on the water balance of Issyk-Kul Lake through its main catchments".FRONTIERS IN WATER 6(2024).