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DOI | 10.1016/j.fecs.2024.100166 |
The interaction between temperature and precipitation on the potential distribution range of Betula ermanii in the alpine treeline ecotone on the Changbai Mountain | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 2095-6355 |
EISSN | 2197-5620 |
起始页码 | 11 |
卷号 | 11 |
英文摘要 | Alpine treeline ecotones are highly sensitive to climate warming. The low temperature-determined alpine treeline is expected to shift upwards in response to global warming. However, little is known about how temperature interacts with other important factors to influence the distribution range of tree species within and beyond the alpine treeline ecotone. Hence, we used a GF-2 satellite image, along with bioclimatic and topographic variables, to develop an ensemble suitable habitat model based on the species distribution modeling algorithms in Biomod2. We investigated the distribution of suitable habitats for B. ermanii under three climate change scenarios (i.e., low (SSP126), moderate (SSP370) and extreme (SSP585) future emission trajectories) between two consecutive time periods (i.e., current-2055, and 2055-2085). By 2055, the potential distribution range of B. ermanii will expand under all three climate scenarios. The medium and high suitable areas will decline under SSP370 and SSP585 scenarios from 2055 to 2085. Moreover, under the three climate scenarios, the uppermost altitudes of low suitable habitat will rise to 2,329 m a.s.l., while the altitudes of medium and high suitable habitats will fall to 2,201 and 2,051 m a.s.l. by 2085, respectively. Warming promotes the expansion of B. ermanii distribution range in Changbai Mountain, and this expansion will be modified by precipitation as climate warming continues. This interaction between temperature and precipitation plays a significant role in shaping the potential distribution range of B. ermanii in the alpine treeline ecotone. This study reveals the link between environmental factors, habitat distribution, and species distribution in the alpine treeline ecotone, providing valuable insights into the impacts of climate change on high-elevation vegetation, and contributing to mountain biodiversity conservation and sustainable development. |
英文关键词 | Biomod2; Birch; Climate change; Climate scenarios; Habitat suitability; Range shift; Treeline species |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Forestry |
WOS类目 | Forestry |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001172840600001 |
来源期刊 | FOREST ECOSYSTEMS
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308941 |
作者单位 | Chinese Academy of Sciences; Northeast Institute of Geography & Agroecology, CAS; Northeast Normal University - China; University of Missouri System; University of Missouri Columbia; Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow & Landscape Research; Hebei University |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . The interaction between temperature and precipitation on the potential distribution range of Betula ermanii in the alpine treeline ecotone on the Changbai Mountain[J],2024,11. |
APA | (2024).The interaction between temperature and precipitation on the potential distribution range of Betula ermanii in the alpine treeline ecotone on the Changbai Mountain.FOREST ECOSYSTEMS,11. |
MLA | "The interaction between temperature and precipitation on the potential distribution range of Betula ermanii in the alpine treeline ecotone on the Changbai Mountain".FOREST ECOSYSTEMS 11(2024). |
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