气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Future transition from forests to shrublands and grasslands in the western United States is expected to reduce carbon storage

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DOI	10.1038/s43247-024-01253-6
	Future transition from forests to shrublands and grasslands in the western United States is expected to reduce carbon storage
	Kodero, Jared M.; Felzer, Benjamin S.; Shi, Yuning
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2662-4435
起始页码	5
结束页码	1
卷号	5 期号:1
英文摘要	Climate change is expected to impact vegetation in the western United States, leading to shifts in dominant Plant Functional Types and carbon storage. Here, we used a biogeographic model integrated with a biogeochemical model to predict changes in dominant Plant Functional Type by 2070-2100. Results show that under the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 scenario, 40% of the originally forested areas will transition to shrubland (7%) or grassland (32%), while under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario, 58% of forested areas shift to shrubland (18%) or grassland (40%). These shifts in Plant Functional Types result in a net overall loss in carbon storage equal to -60 gigagram of carbon and -82 gigagram of carbon under Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 and 8.5, respectively. Our findings highlight the need for urgent action to mitigate the effects of climate change on vegetation and carbon storage in the region. Forests in the western United States could transform into shrubland or grassland by the end of the century, leading to a loss of carbon storage, but the magnitude of the changes depends on the level of greenhouse gas emissions, according to future projections of a terrestrial ecosystem model.
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001161480600005
来源期刊	COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308935
作者单位	Lehigh University; Brown University; Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); Pennsylvania State University; Pennsylvania State University - University Park
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kodero, Jared M.,Felzer, Benjamin S.,Shi, Yuning. Future transition from forests to shrublands and grasslands in the western United States is expected to reduce carbon storage[J],2024,5(1).
APA	Kodero, Jared M.,Felzer, Benjamin S.,&Shi, Yuning.(2024).Future transition from forests to shrublands and grasslands in the western United States is expected to reduce carbon storage.COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT,5(1).
MLA	Kodero, Jared M.,et al."Future transition from forests to shrublands and grasslands in the western United States is expected to reduce carbon storage".COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT 5.1(2024).