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DOI	10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104490
	Projecting compound wave and sea-level events at a coastal structure site under climate change
	Lucio, D.; Lara, J. L.; Tomas, A.; Losada, I. J.
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0378-3839
EISSN	1872-7379
起始页码	189
卷号	189
英文摘要	In this paper, an innovative framework is introduced for assessing the impact of climate change on coastal structures, with a primary emphasis on modeling future climate conditions. The framework encompasses several key components: the development of a new climate emulator to facilitate multivariate extreme value analysis; a hybrid statistical-numerical wave propagation strategy; and the integration of a novel compound modeling approach specific to coastal structure sites. These advancements are designed to effectively manage multiple climate scenarios and models within the context of high uncertainty. The methodology is applied and validated for a coastal structure located on the Mediterranean coast in Spain. Focusing on compound wave and sea -level events, the projections indicate an increase in the frequency and severity of extreme conditions, exacerbating coastal impacts such as wave overtopping. For instance, the present-day 500 -year coastal flooding level would be associated with a return period of 50 years by mid-century under a stabilization scenario and would be further reduced to 25 years under a high -emission global warming scenario, resulting in important consequences for structure performance if no adaptation is implemented.
英文关键词	Climate change; Compound events; Uncertainty cascade; Extremes; Adaptation
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Engineering
WOS类目	Engineering, Civil ; Engineering, Ocean
WOS记录号	WOS:001202966900001
来源期刊	COASTAL ENGINEERING
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308867
作者单位	Universidad de Cantabria; IHCantabria - Instituto de Hidraulica Ambiental de la Universidad de Cantabria
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lucio, D.,Lara, J. L.,Tomas, A.,et al. Projecting compound wave and sea-level events at a coastal structure site under climate change[J],2024,189.
APA	Lucio, D.,Lara, J. L.,Tomas, A.,&Losada, I. J..(2024).Projecting compound wave and sea-level events at a coastal structure site under climate change.COASTAL ENGINEERING,189.
MLA	Lucio, D.,et al."Projecting compound wave and sea-level events at a coastal structure site under climate change".COASTAL ENGINEERING 189(2024).