气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Assessment of the tropical cyclone-induced risk on offshore wind turbines under climate change

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s11069-023-06390-3
	Assessment of the tropical cyclone-induced risk on offshore wind turbines under climate change
	Wen, Zeguo; Wang, Fuming; Wan, Jing; Wang, Yuzhen; Yang, Fan; Guo, Chengchao
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0921-030X
EISSN	1573-0840
起始页码	120
结束页码	6
卷号	120 期号:6
英文摘要	Assessing the risk of tropical cyclones (TCs) to offshore wind turbines (OWTs) can be a difficult task, mainly due to the lack of historical data. This study addresses this challenge by creating a synthetic TC hazard dataset that models 10,000 years of TC activity and developing a risk assessment framework based on this dataset. The present work uses full-track simulation to generate synthetic TCs and then employs the parametric wind field model and Mike 21 spectral wave model to simulate the corresponding wind and wave fields driven by the synthetic TCs. Additionally, the effect of climate change is incorporated into the synthetic TCs using a global climate model. A reliability analysis methodology is developed to measure the failure probability of OWTs. The proposed framework is applied to four representative sites in the South China Sea. The results indicate that the future climate will pose a greater risk for OWTs due to the increased intensity of TC-induced hazards. Additionally, proper maintenance of the yaw control system can effectively improve the safety of OWTs. The proposed framework can aid in enhancing the resilience of offshore wind energy systems.
英文关键词	Tropical cyclone; Full-track simulation; Wave modelling; Climate change; Offshore wind turbine; Risk
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS类目	Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS记录号	WOS:001171397800002
来源期刊	NATURAL HAZARDS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308798
作者单位	Sun Yat Sen University; Southern Marine Science & Engineering Guangdong Laboratory; Southern Marine Science & Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai); University of Western Australia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wen, Zeguo,Wang, Fuming,Wan, Jing,et al. Assessment of the tropical cyclone-induced risk on offshore wind turbines under climate change[J],2024,120(6).
APA	Wen, Zeguo,Wang, Fuming,Wan, Jing,Wang, Yuzhen,Yang, Fan,&Guo, Chengchao.(2024).Assessment of the tropical cyclone-induced risk on offshore wind turbines under climate change.NATURAL HAZARDS,120(6).
MLA	Wen, Zeguo,et al."Assessment of the tropical cyclone-induced risk on offshore wind turbines under climate change".NATURAL HAZARDS 120.6(2024).