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DOI10.1111/cobi.14204
Prioritizing conservation efforts based on future habitat availability and accessibility under climate change
Liang, Jie; Wang, Wanting; Cai, Qing; Li, Xin; Zhu, Ziqian; Zhai, Yeqing; Li, Xiaodong; Gao, Xiang; Yi, Yuru
发表日期2024
ISSN0888-8892
EISSN1523-1739
英文摘要The potential for species to shift their ranges to avoid extinction is contingent on the future availability and accessibility of habitats with analogous climates. To develop conservation strategies, many previous researchers used a single method that considered individual factors; a few combined 2 factors. Primarily, these studies focused on identifying climate refugia or climatically connected and spatially fixed areas, ignoring the range shifting process of animals. We quantified future habitat availability (based on species occurrence, climate data, land cover, and elevation) and accessibility (based on climate velocity) under climate change (4 scenarios) of migratory birds across the Yangtze River basin (YRB). Then, we assessed species' range-shift potential and identified conservation priority areas for migratory birds in the 2050s with a network analysis. Our results suggested that medium (i.e., 5-10 km/year) and high (i.e., >= 10 km/year) climate velocity would threaten 18.65% and 8.37% of stable habitat, respectively. Even with low (i.e., 0-5 km/year) climate velocity, 50.15% of climate-velocity-identified destinations were less available than their source habitats. Based on our integration of habitat availability and accessibility, we identified a few areas of critical importance for conservation, mainly in Sichuan and the middle to lower reaches of the YRB. Overall, we identified the differences between habitat availability and accessibility in capturing biological responses to climate change. More importantly, we accounted for the dynamic process of species' range shifts, which must be considered to identify conservation priority areas. Our method informs forecasting of climate-driven distribution shifts and conservation priorities.
英文关键词climate change adaptation; climate velocity; connectivity; habitat suitability; network analysis
语种英语
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001156181800001
来源期刊CONSERVATION BIOLOGY
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308574
作者单位Hunan University; Hunan University; Hunan University
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Liang, Jie,Wang, Wanting,Cai, Qing,et al. Prioritizing conservation efforts based on future habitat availability and accessibility under climate change[J],2024.
APA Liang, Jie.,Wang, Wanting.,Cai, Qing.,Li, Xin.,Zhu, Ziqian.,...&Yi, Yuru.(2024).Prioritizing conservation efforts based on future habitat availability and accessibility under climate change.CONSERVATION BIOLOGY.
MLA Liang, Jie,et al."Prioritizing conservation efforts based on future habitat availability and accessibility under climate change".CONSERVATION BIOLOGY (2024).
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