气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Unequal climate impacts on global values of natural capital

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41586-023-06769-z
	Unequal climate impacts on global values of natural capital
	Bastien-Olvera, B. A.; Conte, M. N.; Dong, X.; Briceno, T.; Batker, D.; Emmerling, J.; Tavoni, M.; Granella, F.; Moore, F. C.
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0028-0836
EISSN	1476-4687
起始页码	625
结束页码	7996
卷号	625 期号:7996
英文摘要	Ecosystems generate a wide range of benefits for humans, including some market goods as well as other benefits that are not directly reflected in market activity1. Climate change will alter the distribution of ecosystems around the world and change the flow of these benefits2,3. However, the specific implications of ecosystem changes for human welfare remain unclear, as they depend on the nature of these changes, the value of the affected benefits and the extent to which communities rely on natural systems for their well-being4. Here we estimate country-level changes in economic production and the value of non-market ecosystem benefits resulting from climate-change-induced shifts in terrestrial vegetation cover, as projected by dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) driven by general circulation climate models. Our results show that the annual population-weighted mean global flow of non-market ecosystem benefits valued in the wealth accounts of the World Bank will be reduced by 9.2% in 2100 under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP2-6.0 with respect to the baseline no climate change scenario and that the global population-weighted average change in gross domestic product (GDP) by 2100 is -1.3% of the baseline GDP. Because lower-income countries are more reliant on natural capital, these GDP effects are regressive. Approximately 90% of these damages are borne by the poorest 50% of countries and regions, whereas the wealthiest 10% experience only 2% of these losses. Country-level changes in economic production and the value of non-market ecosystem benefits show unequal impacts on the global values of natural capital resulting from climate-change-induced shifts in terrestrial vegetation cover.
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001163662900004
来源期刊	NATURE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308566
作者单位	University of California System; University of California Davis; University of California System; University of California San Diego; Scripps Institution of Oceanography; Fordham University; University of California System; University of California Davis; Polytechnic University of Milan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Bastien-Olvera, B. A.,Conte, M. N.,Dong, X.,et al. Unequal climate impacts on global values of natural capital[J],2024,625(7996).
APA	Bastien-Olvera, B. A..,Conte, M. N..,Dong, X..,Briceno, T..,Batker, D..,...&Moore, F. C..(2024).Unequal climate impacts on global values of natural capital.NATURE,625(7996).
MLA	Bastien-Olvera, B. A.,et al."Unequal climate impacts on global values of natural capital".NATURE 625.7996(2024).