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DOI10.1016/j.seps.2024.101875
Two-stage stochastic program for environmental resettlement decision-making
发表日期2024
ISSN0038-0121
EISSN1873-6041
起始页码93
卷号93
英文摘要Large and irregular movements of forcibly displaced people are an escalating global issue today. As a result, forced displacement has become an international problem. It requires planning for the relocation and integration of displaced people. However, forced displacement is not a one-time event. On the contrary, it is an ongoing, long-term process with dynamic parameters. We are interested in the long-term displacement problem, especially for climate-driven cases in which people will be forced to leave uninhabitable regions to escape slow-onset climate change impacts. Creating an optimization model that could cover all the requirements and considerations of such a problem would encounter many challenges. Nonetheless, planning in advance for the upcoming climate-change-driven displacement crisis is critical. Unfortunately, this topic has not been explored sufficiently, especially in the operations research literature. To fill this gap, we focus on developing a mathematical model for the long-term relocation planning of people displaced due to climate change. In this model, uncertainty in demand is represented with various demand scenarios, demand and capacity are managed dynamically, and integration outcomes and related costs are optimized. Ultimately, the purpose of this paper is to provide decisionmakers with an initial resource for preparing for upcoming movements under uncertainty. To this end, we propose a two-stage stochastic model to determine optimal flow and location decisions. We run this model under three different demand scenarios with and without considering societal impacts measured by diversity indicators. The results show how profoundly the uncertainty in demand and differences in our focus change the future steps that should be taken.
英文关键词Climate change displacement; Humanitarian operations research for societal; good; Long-term planning; Two-stage stochastic programming
语种英语
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Operations Research & Management Science
WOS类目Economics ; Management ; Operations Research & Management Science
WOS记录号WOS:001221373300001
来源期刊SOCIO-ECONOMIC PLANNING SCIENCES
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308426
作者单位University of Oklahoma System; University of Oklahoma - Norman; Aalto University
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. Two-stage stochastic program for environmental resettlement decision-making[J],2024,93.
APA (2024).Two-stage stochastic program for environmental resettlement decision-making.SOCIO-ECONOMIC PLANNING SCIENCES,93.
MLA "Two-stage stochastic program for environmental resettlement decision-making".SOCIO-ECONOMIC PLANNING SCIENCES 93(2024).
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