气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Predicting suitable areas for Metcalfa pruinosa (Hemiptera: Flatidae) under climate change and implications for management

CCPortal

DOI	10.1093/jisesa/ieae053
	Predicting suitable areas for Metcalfa pruinosa (Hemiptera: Flatidae) under climate change and implications for management
	Zhao, Zhengxue; Yang, Lin; Long, Jiankun; Chang, Zhimin; Chen, Xiangsheng
发表日期	2024
EISSN	1536-2442
起始页码	24
结束页码	3
卷号	24 期号:3
英文摘要	Climate change is a prominent factor reshaping the distribution of invasive species. Metcalfa pruinosa (Say 1830) (Hemiptera: Flatidae), native to North America, has invaded other continents and poses a serious threat to various agricultural crops and the human residential environment. Understanding the distribution of M. pruinosa based on climatic conditions is a critical first step to prevent its further invasion. Therefore, based on its occurrence records and associated environmental variables, a Maxent model was developed to predict suitable areas for this species in the present and future on a global scale. The model exhibited outstanding performance, with a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and true skill statistic values of 0.9329 and 0.926, respectively. The model also indicated that annual precipitation (Bio12) and max temperature of the warmest month (Bio5) were the key environmental variables limiting the distribution of M. pruinosa. Moreover, the model revealed that the current suitable area is 1.01 x 107 km2 worldwide, with southern China, southern Europe, and the eastern United States predicted to be the primary and highly suitable areas in the latter 2 regions. This area is expected to increase under future climate scenarios, mainly in the northern direction. The study's findings contribute to our understanding of climate change's impact on M. pruinosa distribution, and they will aid governments in developing appropriate pest management strategies, including global monitoring and strict quarantine measures.
英文关键词	Metcalfa pruinosa; climate change; suitable area; Maxent; pest management
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Entomology
WOS类目	Entomology
WOS记录号	WOS:001215626400001
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF INSECT SCIENCE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308205
作者单位	Guizhou University; Guizhou University; Guizhou University; Anshun University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhao, Zhengxue,Yang, Lin,Long, Jiankun,et al. Predicting suitable areas for Metcalfa pruinosa (Hemiptera: Flatidae) under climate change and implications for management[J],2024,24(3).
APA	Zhao, Zhengxue,Yang, Lin,Long, Jiankun,Chang, Zhimin,&Chen, Xiangsheng.(2024).Predicting suitable areas for Metcalfa pruinosa (Hemiptera: Flatidae) under climate change and implications for management.JOURNAL OF INSECT SCIENCE,24(3).
MLA	Zhao, Zhengxue,et al."Predicting suitable areas for Metcalfa pruinosa (Hemiptera: Flatidae) under climate change and implications for management".JOURNAL OF INSECT SCIENCE 24.3(2024).