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DOI | 10.1007/s00027-023-01017-y |
Quantitative risk assessment of largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides) invasion in South Korea under different climate change scenarios | |
Kim, Zhonghyun; Cho, Yongjang; Shim, Taeyong; Hwang, Eenjun; Ki, Seo Jin; An, Kwang-Guk; Jung, Jinho | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 1015-1621 |
EISSN | 1420-9055 |
起始页码 | 86 |
结束页码 | 1 |
卷号 | 86期号:1 |
英文摘要 | The number of invasive species threatening freshwater habitats are increasing globally, and can be accelerated by climate change. Thus, risk assessments of potential invasive species are required for establishing prevention measures, in which quantitative risk assessments provide results objectively. In this study, the invasion risk of largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides) in four major river basins (the Han, Nakdong, Geum, and Yeongsan) in South Korea was evaluated using an ensemble of species distribution models (SDMs). A weighted ensemble of the SDMs was developed to predict the probability of largemouth bass occurrence in the present (2011-2015) and two future periods: 2050 (2046-2055) and 2080 (2076-2085). The invasion risk of largemouth bass was evaluated using two approaches: relative and absolute risk assessments. Both approaches predicted an increase in Tier 1 (the highest risk) areas under representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5; however, a decrease in the areas of concern under RCP 8.5. In particular, the upper streams of the Nakdong and Han river basins are expected to be at risk in the future. In addition, Tier 1 risk areas are predicted to shift northward under both RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, especially in the Nakdong River Basin. This study provides a quantitative risk assessment tool based on the SDMs for the management of largemouth bass invasion under climate change. |
英文关键词 | Climate change; Invasive fish; Largemouth bass; Risk assessment; Species distribution model |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001088879000001 |
来源期刊 | AQUATIC SCIENCES
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308158 |
作者单位 | Korea University; Korea University; Korea University; Gyeongsang National University; Chungnam National University; Korea University |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kim, Zhonghyun,Cho, Yongjang,Shim, Taeyong,et al. Quantitative risk assessment of largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides) invasion in South Korea under different climate change scenarios[J],2024,86(1). |
APA | Kim, Zhonghyun.,Cho, Yongjang.,Shim, Taeyong.,Hwang, Eenjun.,Ki, Seo Jin.,...&Jung, Jinho.(2024).Quantitative risk assessment of largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides) invasion in South Korea under different climate change scenarios.AQUATIC SCIENCES,86(1). |
MLA | Kim, Zhonghyun,et al."Quantitative risk assessment of largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides) invasion in South Korea under different climate change scenarios".AQUATIC SCIENCES 86.1(2024). |
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