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DOI10.1007/s00027-023-01017-y
Quantitative risk assessment of largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides) invasion in South Korea under different climate change scenarios
Kim, Zhonghyun; Cho, Yongjang; Shim, Taeyong; Hwang, Eenjun; Ki, Seo Jin; An, Kwang-Guk; Jung, Jinho
发表日期2024
ISSN1015-1621
EISSN1420-9055
起始页码86
结束页码1
卷号86期号:1
英文摘要The number of invasive species threatening freshwater habitats are increasing globally, and can be accelerated by climate change. Thus, risk assessments of potential invasive species are required for establishing prevention measures, in which quantitative risk assessments provide results objectively. In this study, the invasion risk of largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides) in four major river basins (the Han, Nakdong, Geum, and Yeongsan) in South Korea was evaluated using an ensemble of species distribution models (SDMs). A weighted ensemble of the SDMs was developed to predict the probability of largemouth bass occurrence in the present (2011-2015) and two future periods: 2050 (2046-2055) and 2080 (2076-2085). The invasion risk of largemouth bass was evaluated using two approaches: relative and absolute risk assessments. Both approaches predicted an increase in Tier 1 (the highest risk) areas under representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5; however, a decrease in the areas of concern under RCP 8.5. In particular, the upper streams of the Nakdong and Han river basins are expected to be at risk in the future. In addition, Tier 1 risk areas are predicted to shift northward under both RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, especially in the Nakdong River Basin. This study provides a quantitative risk assessment tool based on the SDMs for the management of largemouth bass invasion under climate change.
英文关键词Climate change; Invasive fish; Largemouth bass; Risk assessment; Species distribution model
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology
WOS记录号WOS:001088879000001
来源期刊AQUATIC SCIENCES
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308158
作者单位Korea University; Korea University; Korea University; Gyeongsang National University; Chungnam National University; Korea University
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Kim, Zhonghyun,Cho, Yongjang,Shim, Taeyong,et al. Quantitative risk assessment of largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides) invasion in South Korea under different climate change scenarios[J],2024,86(1).
APA Kim, Zhonghyun.,Cho, Yongjang.,Shim, Taeyong.,Hwang, Eenjun.,Ki, Seo Jin.,...&Jung, Jinho.(2024).Quantitative risk assessment of largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides) invasion in South Korea under different climate change scenarios.AQUATIC SCIENCES,86(1).
MLA Kim, Zhonghyun,et al."Quantitative risk assessment of largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides) invasion in South Korea under different climate change scenarios".AQUATIC SCIENCES 86.1(2024).
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