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DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ad376c |
Detecting the impact of climate change on tropical cyclones in Southern China | |
Tu, Shifei; Zhang, Yifan; Liang, Mei; Wu, Deping; Xu, Jianjun | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
起始页码 | 19 |
结束页码 | 4 |
卷号 | 19期号:4 |
英文摘要 | It is well known that tropical cyclones (TCs) making landfall in Southern China (SC) account for more than half of all TCs making landfall in China. Therefore, it is important to have an in-depth understanding of the activities of TCs in SC under climate warming. Our results show that there have been no significant changes in the frequency and duration of these TCs, but their intensities have unexpectedly decreased by similar to 20% since 1980, which is inconsistent with the previous understanding that climate change increases TC intensity. The results consistently show a significant decrease in the different TC intensity percentiles, which is related to the intensity distribution that shows a significant decrease in the proportion of tropical storms and a significant increase in the proportion of tropical depressions, as well as a slight decrease in the proportion of category 1-2. Because of the locations of those TCs activity show a clear shoreward migration tendency, indicating that land friction can suppress TC intensification, so that TC intensity has weakened. In addition, results also suggest that TC development is strongly suppressed and is mainly related to the enhancement of atmospheric stability, vertical wind shear and subtropical high under global warming. These results are quite different from the previous understanding of the changes in TC intensity under global warming. Such knowledge can help us better understand the relationship between climate change and the impact of TC activity at the regional scale. |
英文关键词 | tropical cyclone intensity; climate change; Southern China; shoreward migration |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001198889800001 |
来源期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308130 |
作者单位 | Guangdong Ocean University; Guangdong Ocean University; Guangdong Ocean University |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tu, Shifei,Zhang, Yifan,Liang, Mei,et al. Detecting the impact of climate change on tropical cyclones in Southern China[J],2024,19(4). |
APA | Tu, Shifei,Zhang, Yifan,Liang, Mei,Wu, Deping,&Xu, Jianjun.(2024).Detecting the impact of climate change on tropical cyclones in Southern China.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,19(4). |
MLA | Tu, Shifei,et al."Detecting the impact of climate change on tropical cyclones in Southern China".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 19.4(2024). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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