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DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ad376c
Detecting the impact of climate change on tropical cyclones in Southern China
Tu, Shifei; Zhang, Yifan; Liang, Mei; Wu, Deping; Xu, Jianjun
发表日期2024
ISSN1748-9326
起始页码19
结束页码4
卷号19期号:4
英文摘要It is well known that tropical cyclones (TCs) making landfall in Southern China (SC) account for more than half of all TCs making landfall in China. Therefore, it is important to have an in-depth understanding of the activities of TCs in SC under climate warming. Our results show that there have been no significant changes in the frequency and duration of these TCs, but their intensities have unexpectedly decreased by similar to 20% since 1980, which is inconsistent with the previous understanding that climate change increases TC intensity. The results consistently show a significant decrease in the different TC intensity percentiles, which is related to the intensity distribution that shows a significant decrease in the proportion of tropical storms and a significant increase in the proportion of tropical depressions, as well as a slight decrease in the proportion of category 1-2. Because of the locations of those TCs activity show a clear shoreward migration tendency, indicating that land friction can suppress TC intensification, so that TC intensity has weakened. In addition, results also suggest that TC development is strongly suppressed and is mainly related to the enhancement of atmospheric stability, vertical wind shear and subtropical high under global warming. These results are quite different from the previous understanding of the changes in TC intensity under global warming. Such knowledge can help us better understand the relationship between climate change and the impact of TC activity at the regional scale.
英文关键词tropical cyclone intensity; climate change; Southern China; shoreward migration
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001198889800001
来源期刊ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308130
作者单位Guangdong Ocean University; Guangdong Ocean University; Guangdong Ocean University
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Tu, Shifei,Zhang, Yifan,Liang, Mei,et al. Detecting the impact of climate change on tropical cyclones in Southern China[J],2024,19(4).
APA Tu, Shifei,Zhang, Yifan,Liang, Mei,Wu, Deping,&Xu, Jianjun.(2024).Detecting the impact of climate change on tropical cyclones in Southern China.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,19(4).
MLA Tu, Shifei,et al."Detecting the impact of climate change on tropical cyclones in Southern China".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 19.4(2024).
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