气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Higher emissions scenarios lead to more extreme flooding in the United States

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41467-023-44415-4
	Higher emissions scenarios lead to more extreme flooding in the United States
	Kim, Hanbeen; Villarini, Gabriele
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2041-1723
起始页码	15
结束页码	1
卷号	15 期号:1
英文摘要	Understanding projected changes in flooding across the contiguous United States (CONUS) helps increase our capability to adapt to and mitigate against this hazard. Here, we assess future changes in flooding across CONUS using outputs from 28 global climate models and four scenarios of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. We find that CONUS is projected to experience an overall increase in flooding, especially under higher emission scenarios; there are subregional differences, with the Northeast and Southeast (Great Plains of the North and Southwest) showing higher tendency towards increasing (decreasing) flooding due to changes in flood processes at the seasonal scale. Moreover, even though trends may not be detected in the historical period, these projected future trends highlight the current needs for incorporating climate change in the future infrastructure designs and management of the water resources. This paper assesses future changes in flood magnitude across the conterminous United States based on multiple climate change scenarios. The results suggest that annual maximum peak discharge is projected to become more extreme under higher emission scenarios.
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001136417200019
来源期刊	NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/308063
作者单位	University of Iowa; Princeton University; Princeton University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kim, Hanbeen,Villarini, Gabriele. Higher emissions scenarios lead to more extreme flooding in the United States[J],2024,15(1).
APA	Kim, Hanbeen,&Villarini, Gabriele.(2024).Higher emissions scenarios lead to more extreme flooding in the United States.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,15(1).
MLA	Kim, Hanbeen,et al."Higher emissions scenarios lead to more extreme flooding in the United States".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 15.1(2024).