气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Predicting the suitable cultivation areas of breadfruit crops Artocarpus altilis (Moraceae) under future climate scenarios in Central Java, Indonesia

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DOI	10.3389/fpls.2024.1363153
	Predicting the suitable cultivation areas of breadfruit crops Artocarpus altilis (Moraceae) under future climate scenarios in Central Java, Indonesia
	Utomo, Suyud Warno; Lestari, Fatma; Adiwibowo, Andrio; Fisher, Micah R.; Qadriina, Hafizha Ilma
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1664-462X
起始页码	15
卷号	15
英文摘要	Artocarpus altilis, commonly known as breadfruit, is a potential crop adapted to a wide variety of climates and widely spread, including in Indonesia. However, information on how this species can adapt to climate change, in particular in Central Java, is still limited. In Indonesia, Central Java is the center for cultivation areas for many crop species to support the 145 million people living on Java Island. One of the potential crops being developed in Central Java is breadfruit. To assess the suitable cultivation areas for breadfruit, species distribution modeling (SDM) was used to predict the current and future (2050-2070) distribution of breadfruit. Two climate change scenarios, including optimistic RCP2.6 and pessimistic RCP8.5 models, were considered to represent future climate change impacts. Based on the results for both optimistic and pessimistic scenarios, the breadfruit's suitable cultivation areas will expand eastward. Implementing a mitigation climate change scenario and limiting the temperature increase to only 1 degrees C under RCP2.6 will provide 270.967 km2 more of suitable cultivation areas for breadfruit in 2050 and 133.296 km2 in 2070. To conclude, this study provides important information on the status and potential cultivation areas for breadfruit, mainly in the Southeast Asia region. The identification of suitable areas will guide land conservation for breadfruit to support food security in this region.
英文关键词	breadfruit; Central Java; RCP 2.6; RCP 8.5; species distribution modeling
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Plant Sciences
WOS类目	Plant Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001221571800001
来源期刊	FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307957
作者单位	University of Indonesia; University of Indonesia; University of Indonesia; University of Indonesia; University of Hawaii System; East West Center
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Utomo, Suyud Warno,Lestari, Fatma,Adiwibowo, Andrio,et al. Predicting the suitable cultivation areas of breadfruit crops Artocarpus altilis (Moraceae) under future climate scenarios in Central Java, Indonesia[J],2024,15.
APA	Utomo, Suyud Warno,Lestari, Fatma,Adiwibowo, Andrio,Fisher, Micah R.,&Qadriina, Hafizha Ilma.(2024).Predicting the suitable cultivation areas of breadfruit crops Artocarpus altilis (Moraceae) under future climate scenarios in Central Java, Indonesia.FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE,15.
MLA	Utomo, Suyud Warno,et al."Predicting the suitable cultivation areas of breadfruit crops Artocarpus altilis (Moraceae) under future climate scenarios in Central Java, Indonesia".FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE 15(2024).