气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Evaluating the Impact of Climate Change on the Endangered Endemic Species Thuja koraiensis Nakai in Baekdudaegan, South Korea: An Ensemble Modelling Approach

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DOI	10.18494/SAM4567
	Evaluating the Impact of Climate Change on the Endangered Endemic Species Thuja koraiensis Nakai in Baekdudaegan, South Korea: An Ensemble Modelling Approach
	Park, Chanjoo; Lee, Sanghyun; Lee, Donghyoung; Oh, SeungHwan; Byeon, Jungi
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0914-4935
起始页码	36
结束页码	4
卷号	36 期号:4
英文摘要	Thuja koraiensis Nakai ( Cupressaceae ) is an endangered conifer species that holds significant ecological importance as an endemic plant in Korea. To facilitate the adaptive management of ecosystems on the Korean peninsula in the face of climate change, the use of species distribution models (SDMs) can be instrumental in supporting climate-adaptive forest restoration programs. In this study, we collected occurrence and bioclimatic data from remote sensing to analyze the current and projected distribution of T. koraiensis . We employed four different SDMs, namely, the general additive model, generalized boosted model, general linear model, and random forest, to predict the potential distribution of T. koraiensis under both current and future climate scenarios. To assess the risk of extinction for this species, we utilized ensemble-averaged models to estimate the extent of area loss in currently suitable habitats for T. koraiensis , with a focus on stable true skill statistic ( TSS ) results exceeding 0.9. Encouragingly, our results indicate that T. koraiensis is likely to persist into the 2070s, specifically when considering the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 scenario for climate change on the Korean peninsula. These findings provide robust predictions regarding the future habitat occupancy probabilities of T. koraiensis populations across South Korea. Moreover, they contribute to the development of climate-adaptive forest restoration programs, taking into account long-term perspectives.
英文关键词	species distribution model (SDM); climate change; Thuja koraiensis Nakai; conservation
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Instruments & Instrumentation ; Materials Science
WOS类目	Instruments & Instrumentation ; Materials Science, Multidisciplinary
WOS记录号	WOS:001224880400001
来源期刊	SENSORS AND MATERIALS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307928
作者单位	Kangwon National University; Kyungpook National University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Park, Chanjoo,Lee, Sanghyun,Lee, Donghyoung,et al. Evaluating the Impact of Climate Change on the Endangered Endemic Species Thuja koraiensis Nakai in Baekdudaegan, South Korea: An Ensemble Modelling Approach[J],2024,36(4).
APA	Park, Chanjoo,Lee, Sanghyun,Lee, Donghyoung,Oh, SeungHwan,&Byeon, Jungi.(2024).Evaluating the Impact of Climate Change on the Endangered Endemic Species Thuja koraiensis Nakai in Baekdudaegan, South Korea: An Ensemble Modelling Approach.SENSORS AND MATERIALS,36(4).
MLA	Park, Chanjoo,et al."Evaluating the Impact of Climate Change on the Endangered Endemic Species Thuja koraiensis Nakai in Baekdudaegan, South Korea: An Ensemble Modelling Approach".SENSORS AND MATERIALS 36.4(2024).