气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Predicting the suitable habitat distribution of berry plants under climate change

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10980-024-01839-7
	Predicting the suitable habitat distribution of berry plants under climate change
	Hamilton, Casey W.; Smithwick, Erica A. H.; Spellman, Katie V.; Baltensperger, Andrew P.; Spellman, Blaine T.; Chi, Guangqing
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0921-2973
EISSN	1572-9761
起始页码	39
结束页码	2
卷号	39 期号:2
英文摘要	ContextClimate change is altering suitable habitat distributions of many species at high latitudes. Fleshy fruit-producing plants (hereafter, berry plants) are important in arctic food webs and as subsistence resources for human communities, but their response to a warming and increasingly variable climate at a landscape scale has not yet been examined.ObjectivesWe aimed to identify environmental determinants of berry plant distribution and predict how climate change might shift these distributions.MethodsWe used species distribution models to identify characteristics and predict the distribution of suitable habitat under current (2006-2013) and future climate conditions (2081-2100; representative concentration pathways 4.5, 6.0, & 8.5) for five berry plant species: Vaccinium uliginosum L., Empetrum nigrum L., Rubus chamaemorus L., Vaccinium vitis-idaea L., and Viburnum edule (Michx.) Raf..ResultsElevation, soil characteristics, and January and July temperatures were important drivers of habitat distributions. Future suitable habitat predictions showed net declines in suitable habitat area for all species modeled under almost all future climate scenarios tested.ConclusionsOur work contributes to understanding potential geographic shifts in suitable berry plant habitat with climate change at a landscape scale. Shifting and retracting distributions may alter where communities can harvest, suggesting that access to these resources may become restricted in the future. Our prediction maps may help inform climate adaptation planning as communities anticipate shifting access to harvesting locations.
英文关键词	Berries; Boreal; Climate change; Habitat suitability; Random forests; Species distribution model
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Physical Geography ; Geology
WOS类目	Ecology ; Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS记录号	WOS:001162634300001
来源期刊	LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307877
作者单位	Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); Pennsylvania State University; Pennsylvania State University - University Park; Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); Pennsylvania State University; Pennsylvania State University - University Park; University of Alaska System; University of Alaska Fairbanks; United States Department of Agriculture (USDA); Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); Pennsylvania State University; Pennsylvania State University - University Park; Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); Pennsylvania State University; Pennsylvania State University - University Park
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hamilton, Casey W.,Smithwick, Erica A. H.,Spellman, Katie V.,et al. Predicting the suitable habitat distribution of berry plants under climate change[J],2024,39(2).
APA	Hamilton, Casey W.,Smithwick, Erica A. H.,Spellman, Katie V.,Baltensperger, Andrew P.,Spellman, Blaine T.,&Chi, Guangqing.(2024).Predicting the suitable habitat distribution of berry plants under climate change.LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY,39(2).
MLA	Hamilton, Casey W.,et al."Predicting the suitable habitat distribution of berry plants under climate change".LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY 39.2(2024).