气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Sustainable Adaptation Plan in Response to Climate Change and Population Growth in the Iraqi Part of Tigris River Basin

CCPortal

DOI	10.3390/su16072676
	Sustainable Adaptation Plan in Response to Climate Change and Population Growth in the Iraqi Part of Tigris River Basin
	Saeed, Fouad H.; Al-Khafaji, Mahmoud Saleh; Al-Faraj, Furat A. Mahmood; Uzomah, Vincent
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2071-1050
起始页码	16
结束页码	7
卷号	16 期号:7
英文摘要	Climate change and population growth play crucial roles in the planning of future water resources management strategies. In this paper, a balancing between projected water resources and water demands in the Iraqi Part of the Tigris River Basin (TRB) was evaluated till the year 2080 based on RCPs 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 and population growth. This paper examined a sustainable adaptation plan of water resources in the TRB considering three scenarios; (S1) as no change in the current strategy, (S2) as improved irrigation efficiency and (S3) as improved irrigation and municipal water use efficiency. The results showed a decline in streamflow will occur in the range from 5 to 18.4% under RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5, respectively. The minimum increase in water demand is expected for RCP 2.6 (maximum increase for RCP 8.5) by 51.8 (208.2), 9.9 (42) and 1.2 (7)% for the municipal-industrial, irrigation and environmental water demands, respectively, compared with the RP. The main finding indicated that S1 is the worst scenario, with water stress in four provinces, especially on the warmest RCP. Whereas, under S2 and S3 conditions, water stress can be eliminated. Increasing ambition towards adaptation becomes obligatory for developing sustainable water sources, supporting water food securities and increasing resilience towards climate change.
英文关键词	SWAT; LARS-WG; CROPWAT-8; WEAP; climate change; adaptation
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS记录号	WOS:001200829300001
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307869
作者单位	University of Baghdad; University of Bolton; University of Salford
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Saeed, Fouad H.,Al-Khafaji, Mahmoud Saleh,Al-Faraj, Furat A. Mahmood,et al. Sustainable Adaptation Plan in Response to Climate Change and Population Growth in the Iraqi Part of Tigris River Basin[J],2024,16(7).
APA	Saeed, Fouad H.,Al-Khafaji, Mahmoud Saleh,Al-Faraj, Furat A. Mahmood,&Uzomah, Vincent.(2024).Sustainable Adaptation Plan in Response to Climate Change and Population Growth in the Iraqi Part of Tigris River Basin.SUSTAINABILITY,16(7).
MLA	Saeed, Fouad H.,et al."Sustainable Adaptation Plan in Response to Climate Change and Population Growth in the Iraqi Part of Tigris River Basin".SUSTAINABILITY 16.7(2024).