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DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/ad32e9
	Understanding climate changes in East Asia and Europe based on spatial climate analogs
	Paik, Seungmok; An, Soon-Il; King, Andrew D.; Kim, Soong-Ki; Min, Seung-Ki
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1748-9326
起始页码	19
结束页码	4
卷号	19 期号:4
英文摘要	Spatial climate analogs effectively illustrate how a location's climate may become more similar to that of other locations from the historical period to future projections. Also, novel climates (emerging climate conditions significantly different from the past) have been analyzed as they may result in significant and unprecedented ecological and socioeconomic impacts. This study analyzes historical to future spatial climate analogs across East Asia and Europe, in the context of climatic impacts on ecology and human health, respectively. Firstly, the results of climate analogs analysis for ecological impacts indicate that major cities in East Asia and Europe have generally experienced novel climates and climate shifts originating from southern/warmer regions from the early 20th century to the current period, primarily attributed to extensive warming. In future projections, individual cities are not expected to experience additional significant climate change under a 1.5 degrees C global warming (warming relative to pre-industrial period), compared to the contemporary climate. In contrast, robust local climate change and climate shifts from southern/warmer regions are expected at 2.0 degrees C and 3.0 degrees C global warming levels. Specially, under the 3.0 degrees C global warming, unprecedented (newly emerging) climate analogs are expected to appear in a few major cities. The climate analog of future projections partially align with growing season length projections, demonstrating important implications on ecosystems. Human health-relevant climate analogs exhibit qualitatively similar results from the historical period to future projections, suggesting an increasing risk of climate-driven impacts on human health. However, distinctions emerge in the specifics of the climate analogs analysis results concerning ecology and human health, emphasizing the importance of considering appropriate climate variables corresponding to the impacts of climate change. Our results of climate analogs present extensive information of climate change signals and spatiotemporal trajectories, which provide important indicators for developing appropriate adaptaion plans as the planet warms.
英文关键词	climate analog; East Asia; Europe; climate change; global warming
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001189185200001
来源期刊	ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307838
作者单位	Yonsei University; Yonsei University; Pohang University of Science & Technology (POSTECH); University of Melbourne; University of Melbourne; Yonsei University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Paik, Seungmok,An, Soon-Il,King, Andrew D.,et al. Understanding climate changes in East Asia and Europe based on spatial climate analogs[J],2024,19(4).
APA	Paik, Seungmok,An, Soon-Il,King, Andrew D.,Kim, Soong-Ki,&Min, Seung-Ki.(2024).Understanding climate changes in East Asia and Europe based on spatial climate analogs.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,19(4).
MLA	Paik, Seungmok,et al."Understanding climate changes in East Asia and Europe based on spatial climate analogs".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 19.4(2024).