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DOI10.1007/s41742-024-00567-9
An Investigation into the Effects of Climate Change on Water-Energy-Food Nexus: A New Mathematical Programming Approach
Ahani, Elahe; Ziaee, Saman; Mohammadi, Hamid; Najafabadi, Mostafa Mardani; Mirzaei, Abbas
发表日期2024
ISSN1735-6865
EISSN2008-2304
起始页码18
结束页码2
卷号18期号:2
英文摘要Agriculture is one of the most important production sectors in the world. Water and energy are two essential inputs for food production. The agricultural sector is influenced by climate change the most. In this regard, this research aimed to present a new mathematical programming approach to studying the effects of climate change on the water-energy-food (WEF) nexus. A sustainable WEF nexus was developed for the basin of Kashfrud in Razavi Khorasan province, Iran for 2019-2020. The present approach was modeled in several climatic-hydrological-economic-environmental sectors. Analyzing the outcomes of a hydrological model in the context of climate change scenarios reveals that, given the current state of irrigated land, there will be a 45% increase in net water demand in the future, accompanied by a 13% decrease in crop yields. Consequently, by embracing a holistic approach that considers the nexus of water, food, and energy, the net water demand drops to 71%, the energy allocation to agriculture decreases to 41%, greenhouse gas emissions are reduced by 32%, and farmers' overall profits decrease by 73% in the face of climate change. This approach would also be effective in avoiding the undesirable effects of single-sectoral development policies in addition to improving resource use efficiencies. Since most non-renewable resources are consumed by the agricultural sector, the development of the nexus approach is also important from an environmental perspective in addition to the sustainability of resource use. A new multi-objective programming model based on WEF nexus management was developed.The application of the proposed model was used to as a case study in Iran.This model could increase the gross profit of farmers while reducing scarce inputs.
英文关键词Different CMIP6-based scenarios; Mathematical programming model; Multi-objective optimization; Resource allocation; Sustainable development
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001169890200001
来源期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307810
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ahani, Elahe,Ziaee, Saman,Mohammadi, Hamid,et al. An Investigation into the Effects of Climate Change on Water-Energy-Food Nexus: A New Mathematical Programming Approach[J],2024,18(2).
APA Ahani, Elahe,Ziaee, Saman,Mohammadi, Hamid,Najafabadi, Mostafa Mardani,&Mirzaei, Abbas.(2024).An Investigation into the Effects of Climate Change on Water-Energy-Food Nexus: A New Mathematical Programming Approach.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH,18(2).
MLA Ahani, Elahe,et al."An Investigation into the Effects of Climate Change on Water-Energy-Food Nexus: A New Mathematical Programming Approach".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 18.2(2024).
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