气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Potential distribution of wild edible fruit trees under climate change scenarios: promoting food security in a Neotropical region

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DOI	10.1007/s10113-024-02231-6
	Potential distribution of wild edible fruit trees under climate change scenarios: promoting food security in a Neotropical region
	Benitez, Griselda; Estrada-Contreras, Israel; Lascurain-Rangel, Maite; Gomez-Diaz, Jorge Antonio; Falfan, Ina; Quiroz-Guerrero, Ismael; Equihua, Miguel
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1436-3798
EISSN	1436-378X
起始页码	24
结束页码	2
卷号	24 期号:2
英文摘要	Wild edible fruits are important genetic and economic plant resources. They represent a significant livelihood resource for the population and are valuable in coping with climate change and food poverty. This work aimed to model the potential distribution of ten species of wild edible fruits from the state of Veracruz. These species were modelled with present and future climate scenarios. To obtain the projections, we used the MaxLike R library and bioclimatic variables from the WorldClim database under climate change scenarios with two radiative forcing trajectories (RCP4.5 and 8.5), and forecasts from three general circulation models (CCSM4, GISS.E2-R and MPI-ESM-LR) for the horizons 2050 and 2070. Then, we explore the spatial coincidence of the potential distribution of the fruits with geographic areas of Veracruz with high levels of marginalization, aiming to support the design of adaptative strategies to climate change. Pithecellobium dulce is the only species that will likely increase its current potential distribution in the future. The rest of the studied species Celtis caudata, Cordia dodecandra, Crataegus mexicana, Hymenaea courbaril, Manilkara sapota, Prunus serotina and Psidium guajava are projected to reduce their distribution area by more than 40%. The species Pouteria sapota and Pimenta dioica, of great economic value, could reduce their geographic area up to 82% and 85%, respectively. Municipalities with low to very low marginalization have the possibility of picking between four and six species on average, with potential of establishing in their surroundings. The analysed species are multipurpose, contribute to food security and are an alternative in adapting to climate change because they are candidates to be included in conservation initiatives while confronting the problem of marginalization.
英文关键词	Management; Agroecological routes; Socioeconomic marginalization; Food resources; Native species; Cardinal temperatures
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS记录号	WOS:001222621400001
来源期刊	REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307796
作者单位	Instituto de Ecologia - Mexico; Universidad Autonoma de Baja California; Universidad Veracruzana
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Benitez, Griselda,Estrada-Contreras, Israel,Lascurain-Rangel, Maite,et al. Potential distribution of wild edible fruit trees under climate change scenarios: promoting food security in a Neotropical region[J],2024,24(2).
APA	Benitez, Griselda.,Estrada-Contreras, Israel.,Lascurain-Rangel, Maite.,Gomez-Diaz, Jorge Antonio.,Falfan, Ina.,...&Equihua, Miguel.(2024).Potential distribution of wild edible fruit trees under climate change scenarios: promoting food security in a Neotropical region.REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,24(2).
MLA	Benitez, Griselda,et al."Potential distribution of wild edible fruit trees under climate change scenarios: promoting food security in a Neotropical region".REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 24.2(2024).