气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Natural Disaster and Food Security in African Countries: Evidence from an Experimental Bayesian Spatial Model

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s13132-023-01713-y
	Natural Disaster and Food Security in African Countries: Evidence from an Experimental Bayesian Spatial Model
	Ghazouani, Assaad; Ben Jebli, Mehdi; Shahzad, Khurram
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1868-7865
EISSN	1868-7873
英文摘要	This paper examines the effect of rainfall, temperature, and drought on sorghum, millets, wheat, and maize crops in Africa. Spatial Bayesian propensity score modeling (BSPSM) analysis is used to estimate means for specific geographic populations using spatial Bayesian models. The results show that rising temperatures and drought have a negative impact on the yield of these crops, thus compromising food security and livelihoods of African populations. Adverse effects include decreased productivity, increased crop losses, and altered grain quality. In light of this challenge, it is important to take adaptive measures to mitigate the effects of rising temperatures. Recommended measures include the adoption of resilient agricultural practices, such as the use of heat-adapted seeds, efficient irrigation, and the establishment of agroforestry systems. In addition, risk management strategies such as crop insurance and crop diversification are essential to improve farmers' resilience to climate change.
英文关键词	Drought; Temperature; Precipitation; Cereals; Climate change; Food security; Natural disasters
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics
WOS类目	Economics
WOS记录号	WOS:001140034700002
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF THE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307727
作者单位	Universite de Jendouba; Universite de la Manouba; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Chinese Academy of Sciences
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ghazouani, Assaad,Ben Jebli, Mehdi,Shahzad, Khurram. Natural Disaster and Food Security in African Countries: Evidence from an Experimental Bayesian Spatial Model[J],2024.
APA	Ghazouani, Assaad,Ben Jebli, Mehdi,&Shahzad, Khurram.(2024).Natural Disaster and Food Security in African Countries: Evidence from an Experimental Bayesian Spatial Model.JOURNAL OF THE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY.
MLA	Ghazouani, Assaad,et al."Natural Disaster and Food Security in African Countries: Evidence from an Experimental Bayesian Spatial Model".JOURNAL OF THE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY (2024).