气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Natural Disasters and Green Party Support

CCPortal

DOI	10.1086/726917
	Natural Disasters and Green Party Support
	Hilbig, Hanno; Riaz, Sascha
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0022-3816
EISSN	1468-2508
起始页码	86
结束页码	1
卷号	86 期号:1
英文摘要	A growing literature shows that extreme weather can induce pro-environment attitudes. We examine the political effects of a severe flood shortly before the 2021 German federal election. Drawing on about 600,000 survey responses and electoral data, we assess how flooding affected (i) the perceived salience of climate change, (ii) self-reported Green Party support, and (iii) Green Party voting in federal elections. We find that even severe local flooding had little to no effect on these outcomes. Additional evidence supports two mechanisms underlying this finding: nationwide rather than local effects of severe disasters and voter demands for disaster relief rather than climate change prevention. We test the former mechanism using a regression discontinuity design and find that the flood increased nationwide Green Party support, although this effect persists for only two weeks. Our results shed new light on the precise duration and geographic scope of the political effects of natural disasters.
英文关键词	natural disasters; climate change; environmental politics; green parties; electoral behavior
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Government & Law
WOS类目	Political Science
WOS记录号	WOS:001098990900001
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF POLITICS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307706
作者单位	University of California System; University of California Davis; University of Oxford
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hilbig, Hanno,Riaz, Sascha. Natural Disasters and Green Party Support[J],2024,86(1).
APA	Hilbig, Hanno,&Riaz, Sascha.(2024).Natural Disasters and Green Party Support.JOURNAL OF POLITICS,86(1).
MLA	Hilbig, Hanno,et al."Natural Disasters and Green Party Support".JOURNAL OF POLITICS 86.1(2024).