气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate Change Impact on the Distribution of Forest Species in the Brazilian Amazon

CCPortal

DOI	10.3390/su16083458
	Climate Change Impact on the Distribution of Forest Species in the Brazilian Amazon
	de Morais, Ingrid Lana Lima; de Lima, Alexandra Amaro; Santos, Ivinne Nara Lobato dos; Meneses, Carlos; da Silva, Rogerio Freire; Lopes, Ricardo; Ramos, Santiago Linorio Ferreyra; de Aguiar, Ananda Virginia; Wrege, Marcos Silveira; Lopes, Maria Teresa Gomes
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2071-1050
起始页码	16
结束页码	8
卷号	16 期号:8
英文摘要	Studies using ecological niche models highlight the vulnerability of forest species to climate change. This work aimed to analyze the distribution of timber species Aspidosperma desmanthum, Cariniana micranta, Clarisia racemosa, Couratari oblongifolia, and Vouchysia guianensis, which are targets of deforestation, to predict the impacts of climate change and identify areas for their conservation in the Amazon. For this purpose, 37 environmental variables were used, including climatic and edaphic factors. The models were fitted using five algorithms, and their performance was evaluated by the metrics Area Under the Curve (AUC), True Skill Statistic, and Sorensen Index. The deforestation analysis was conducted using data accumulated over a period of 14 years. The study indicated that under the most pessimistic predictions, considering continued high emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) from the use of fossil fuels, SSP5-8.5, potential habitat loss for the studied species was more significant. Analyses of the species show that the Western Amazon has a greater climatic suitability area for the conservation of its genetic resources. Further study of the accumulated deforestation over 14 years showed a reduction in area for all species. Therefore, in situ conservation policies and deforestation reduction are recommended for the perpetuation of the analyzed forest species.
英文关键词	conservation; niche modeling; impacts of climate change
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS记录号	WOS:001210002800001
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307530
作者单位	Universidade Federal de Amazonas; Universidade Estadual da Paraiba; Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuaria (EMBRAPA); Universidade Federal de Amazonas; Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuaria (EMBRAPA)
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	de Morais, Ingrid Lana Lima,de Lima, Alexandra Amaro,Santos, Ivinne Nara Lobato dos,et al. Climate Change Impact on the Distribution of Forest Species in the Brazilian Amazon[J],2024,16(8).
APA	de Morais, Ingrid Lana Lima.,de Lima, Alexandra Amaro.,Santos, Ivinne Nara Lobato dos.,Meneses, Carlos.,da Silva, Rogerio Freire.,...&Lopes, Maria Teresa Gomes.(2024).Climate Change Impact on the Distribution of Forest Species in the Brazilian Amazon.SUSTAINABILITY,16(8).
MLA	de Morais, Ingrid Lana Lima,et al."Climate Change Impact on the Distribution of Forest Species in the Brazilian Amazon".SUSTAINABILITY 16.8(2024).