气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Evaluation of the Impact of Climate Change on the Water Balance of the Mixteco River Basin with the SWAT Model

CCPortal

DOI	10.3390/hydrology11040045
	Evaluation of the Impact of Climate Change on the Water Balance of the Mixteco River Basin with the SWAT Model
	Colin-Garcia, Gerardo; Palacios-Velez, Enrique; Lopez-Perez, Adolfo; Bolanos-Gonzalez, Martin Alejandro; Flores-Magdaleno, Hector; Ascencio-Hernandez, Roberto; Canales-Islas, Enrique Inoscencio
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2306-5338
起始页码	11
结束页码	4
卷号	11 期号:4
英文摘要	Assessing the impact of climate change is essential for developing water resource management plans, especially in areas facing severe issues regarding ecosystem service degradation. This study assessed the effects of climate change on the hydrological balance using the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) hydrological model in the Mixteco River Basin (MRB), Oaxaca, Mexico. Temperature and precipitation were predicted with the projections of global climate models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6); the bias was corrected using CMhyd software, and then the best performing GCM was selected for use in the SWAT model. According to the GCM MPI-ESM1-2-LR, precipitation might decrease by between 83.71 mm and 225.83 mm, while temperature might increase by between 2.57 degrees C and 4.77 degrees C, causing a greater atmospheric evaporation demand that might modify the hydrological balance of the MRB. Water yield might decrease by 47.40% and 61.01% under the climate scenarios SP245 and SSP585, respectively. Therefore, adaptation and mitigation measures are needed to offset the adverse impact of climate change in the MRB.
英文关键词	bias correction; climate scenarios; management plans; water yield; water resources
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
WOS类目	Water Resources
WOS记录号	WOS:001210693200001
来源期刊	HYDROLOGY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307523
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Colin-Garcia, Gerardo,Palacios-Velez, Enrique,Lopez-Perez, Adolfo,et al. Evaluation of the Impact of Climate Change on the Water Balance of the Mixteco River Basin with the SWAT Model[J],2024,11(4).
APA	Colin-Garcia, Gerardo.,Palacios-Velez, Enrique.,Lopez-Perez, Adolfo.,Bolanos-Gonzalez, Martin Alejandro.,Flores-Magdaleno, Hector.,...&Canales-Islas, Enrique Inoscencio.(2024).Evaluation of the Impact of Climate Change on the Water Balance of the Mixteco River Basin with the SWAT Model.HYDROLOGY,11(4).
MLA	Colin-Garcia, Gerardo,et al."Evaluation of the Impact of Climate Change on the Water Balance of the Mixteco River Basin with the SWAT Model".HYDROLOGY 11.4(2024).