气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change in the upper Paraguay Basin and hydrological impacts on the Pantanal

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DOI	10.2166/wcc.2024.081
	Climate change in the upper Paraguay Basin and hydrological impacts on the Pantanal
	Ferreira, Filipe Henrique Miranda; Cabral Sousa Junior, Wilson; Almeida Bressiani, Danielle; Manoel Mendes Filho, Walter; Aparecido Goncalves, Demerval
发表日期	2024
ISSN	2040-2244
EISSN	2408-9354
英文摘要	This study analyzed the impact of climate change on the hydrological conditions of the Upper Paraguay Basin, which has as its outlet the river channel in the municipality of C & aacute;ceres - Mato Grosso, Brazil, close to the plateau/Pantanal plain divide. Using the SWAT+ hydrological model and projections from the HADGEM and MIROC models, different flow scenarios were simulated under radiative concentration thresholds (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5. The results showed an average annual reduction of 44.07% in HADGEM 4.5, 51.00% in HADGEM 8.5, 37.35% in MIROC 4.5, and 39.12% in MIROC 8.5 inflows. The results are crucial for the management of water resources, the operation of the Paraguay-Paran & aacute; Waterway, and the resilience of the ecosystem, helping decision-making and management considering the predicted climate and hydrological changes.
英文关键词	climate change; hydrological modeling; land use; Pantanal; SWAT plus; water resources
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
WOS类目	Water Resources
WOS记录号	WOS:001230244800001
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307515
作者单位	Comando-Geral de Tecnologia Aeroespacial (CTA); Instituto Tecnologico de Aeronautica (ITA); Universidade Federal de Pelotas; Universidade Federal de Goias
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ferreira, Filipe Henrique Miranda,Cabral Sousa Junior, Wilson,Almeida Bressiani, Danielle,et al. Climate change in the upper Paraguay Basin and hydrological impacts on the Pantanal[J],2024.
APA	Ferreira, Filipe Henrique Miranda,Cabral Sousa Junior, Wilson,Almeida Bressiani, Danielle,Manoel Mendes Filho, Walter,&Aparecido Goncalves, Demerval.(2024).Climate change in the upper Paraguay Basin and hydrological impacts on the Pantanal.JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE.
MLA	Ferreira, Filipe Henrique Miranda,et al."Climate change in the upper Paraguay Basin and hydrological impacts on the Pantanal".JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE (2024).