Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | 10.1093/biolinnean/blae014 |
Climate change impact on small mammals from two Neotropical hotspots | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 0024-4066 |
EISSN | 1095-8312 |
英文摘要 | Current climate change represents the unprecedented change in weather patterns across global and regional scales over a short period due to human activity. It is expected to drive changes in species distributions across the globe. Our goal here was to analyse (i) how climate change can impact the future distribution of species in two Neotropical hotspots, and (ii) how future distribution can impact the threatened status of species. We used ecological niche modelling to estimate suitable areas in the present and four future climate change scenarios (SSPs) for 40 species of nonvolant small mammals endemic to the Atlantic Forest and Cerrado biomes of South America. We also inferred species' future threat levels according to the IUCN's A3 criteria using future relative area estimates. We found that species will gradually lose more area in all future scenarios, from the most optimistic Shared Socio-economic Pathway (SSP1-2.6) to the most pessimistic (SSP5-8.5) scenario. Species endemic to the Cerrado will see a greater area reduction than species endemic to the Atlantic Forest. Consequently, the Cerrado will have more threatened species than the Atlantic Forest. Species that occupy both biomes will lose proportionally less area than those endemic to the Cerrado but more area than those endemic to the Atlantic Forest. In conclusion, small mammal species will, in general, be negatively impacted by climate change. However, the degree of impact depends on the trajectory of greenhouse gas concentrations and where the species live. |
英文关键词 | Atlantic Forest; Cerrado; conservation; ecological niche modelling; Rodentia; Didelphimorphia |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Evolutionary Biology |
WOS类目 | Evolutionary Biology |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001164582700001 |
来源期刊 | BIOLOGICAL JOURNAL OF THE LINNEAN SOCIETY |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307491 |
作者单位 | Universidade Federal do Espirito Santo |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Climate change impact on small mammals from two Neotropical hotspots[J],2024. |
APA | (2024).Climate change impact on small mammals from two Neotropical hotspots.BIOLOGICAL JOURNAL OF THE LINNEAN SOCIETY. |
MLA | "Climate change impact on small mammals from two Neotropical hotspots".BIOLOGICAL JOURNAL OF THE LINNEAN SOCIETY (2024). |
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