气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): A Ricardian analysis of the economic impacts of climate change on agricultural production in the low-income agrarian economy: Estimates from Malawi's 2010-2019 LSMS longitudinal data

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.jafr.2024.100995
	A Ricardian analysis of the economic impacts of climate change on agricultural production in the low-income agrarian economy: Estimates from Malawi's 2010-2019 LSMS longitudinal data
	Mulagha-Maganga, Assa; Chiwaula, Levison S.; Kambewa, Patrick; Ngaiwi, Mary E.
发表日期	2024
ISSN	2666-1543
起始页码	15
卷号	15
英文摘要	Quantifying the economic impacts of extreme climate scenarios on agriculture at a country level is important, informing the formulation of tailored adaptation policies and sustainable livelihoods. This study examined the current and potential economic impacts of climate change on Malawi's agriculture using Ricardian analysis based on a four-year World Bank's Living Standards Measurement Survey (LSMS) panel data from 1,246 farming households. The marginal impact analysis was conducted for temperature and rainfall. The study then predicted the impact of climate scenarios on net revenue up to the year 2099. The results revealed that more warming will negatively affect agriculture returns on the one hand, while more precipitation will generate gains on the other hand. An ensemble of Global Circulation Models' simulation affirms that impacts from global warming will be more important than those from precipitation change. The impacts are non-neutral to production efficiency with technically efficient farmers having moderate impacts in magnitude relative to inefficient farmers. With strategic climate adaptation choices, results show the potential to abate some of the damages and enhance positive gains from future climate change.
英文关键词	Climate change; Agriculture; Impacts; Adaptation
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Agriculture ; Food Science & Technology
WOS类目	Agriculture, Multidisciplinary ; Food Science & Technology
WOS记录号	WOS:001180290100001
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURE AND FOOD RESEARCH
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307409
作者单位	Lilongwe University of Agriculture & Natural Resources; University of Malawi
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Mulagha-Maganga, Assa,Chiwaula, Levison S.,Kambewa, Patrick,et al. A Ricardian analysis of the economic impacts of climate change on agricultural production in the low-income agrarian economy: Estimates from Malawi's 2010-2019 LSMS longitudinal data[J],2024,15.
APA	Mulagha-Maganga, Assa,Chiwaula, Levison S.,Kambewa, Patrick,&Ngaiwi, Mary E..(2024).A Ricardian analysis of the economic impacts of climate change on agricultural production in the low-income agrarian economy: Estimates from Malawi's 2010-2019 LSMS longitudinal data.JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURE AND FOOD RESEARCH,15.
MLA	Mulagha-Maganga, Assa,et al."A Ricardian analysis of the economic impacts of climate change on agricultural production in the low-income agrarian economy: Estimates from Malawi's 2010-2019 LSMS longitudinal data".JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURE AND FOOD RESEARCH 15(2024).