气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The impact of future UK offshore wind farm distribution and climate change on generation performance and variability

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DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/ad489b
	The impact of future UK offshore wind farm distribution and climate change on generation performance and variability
	Giddings, Josh; Bloomfield, Hannah; James, Rachel; Blair, Michael
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1748-9326
起始页码	19
结束页码	6
卷号	19 期号:6
英文摘要	The UK plans to significantly increase offshore wind generation capacity as part of the effort to achieve net zero targets. Current installation is densely located in a few areas, particularly off the east coast of England, and although current siting proposals include new offshore regions, significant volumes of wind generation capacity are yet to be located to meet 2050 installation targets. This paper uses a recent dataset of multi-decadal offshore wind power capacity factor timeseries to assess how UK offshore wind generation is likely to be affected by both the spatial distribution of future wind farms, and by the impacts of near-future (2020-2050) climate change. We determine that a wider geographic spread of offshore capacity results in a much-improved and less-variable UK-aggregated power generation profile, with substantial reductions in periods of low generation and extreme wind power ramping events, without negatively impacting mean or peak generation outputs. The impact of near-term climate change appears to be minor, slightly reducing overall generation and possibly resulting in an underestimation of future installation requirements, but this climate signal is outweighed by the effects of spatial distribution, and even more so by inherent hourly to inter-annual wind speed variability. This study implies that the intermittency of wind generation can be partly mitigated through increasing the spatial diversity of the existing wind farm distribution. Alongside a more in depth investigation of future climate change, and a holistic assessment of relevant geospatial factors such as Levelised Cost of Energy, infrastructure, and environmental constraints, this study could be used for optimisation of future offshore wind siting.
英文关键词	wind power; climate change; wind farm distribution; net zero; offshore wind; UK energy; electricity generation
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001227516400001
来源期刊	ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307386
作者单位	University of Bristol; Newcastle University - UK
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Giddings, Josh,Bloomfield, Hannah,James, Rachel,et al. The impact of future UK offshore wind farm distribution and climate change on generation performance and variability[J],2024,19(6).
APA	Giddings, Josh,Bloomfield, Hannah,James, Rachel,&Blair, Michael.(2024).The impact of future UK offshore wind farm distribution and climate change on generation performance and variability.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,19(6).
MLA	Giddings, Josh,et al."The impact of future UK offshore wind farm distribution and climate change on generation performance and variability".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 19.6(2024).