Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | 10.1108/CAER-07-2023-0179 |
An analysis of long-term and short-term impact of climate change on rice production in India | |
Singh, Arshdeep; Arora, Kashish; Babu, Suresh Chandra | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 1756-137X |
EISSN | 1756-1388 |
起始页码 | 16 |
结束页码 | 2 |
卷号 | 16期号:2 |
英文摘要 | PurposeClimate change-related weather events significantly affect rice production. In this paper, we investigate the impact of and interrelationships between agriculture inputs, climate change factors and financial variables on rice production in India from 1970-2021.Design/methodology/approachThis study is based on the time series analysis; the unit root test has been employed to unveil the integration order. Further, the study used various econometric techniques, including vector autoregression estimates (VAR), cointegration test, autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model and diagnostic test for ARDL, fully modified least squares (FMOLS), canonical cointegrating regression (CCR), impulse response functions (IRF) and the variance decomposition method (VDM) to validate the long- and short-term impacts of climate change on rice production in India of the scrutinized variables.FindingsThe study's findings revealed that the rice area, precipitation and maximum temperature have a significant and positive impact on rice production in the short run. In the long run, rice area (ss = 1.162), pesticide consumption (ss = 0.089) and domestic credit to private sector (ss = 0.068) have a positive and significant impact on rice production. The results show that minimum temperature and direct institutional credit for agriculture have a significant but negative impact on rice production in the short run. Minimum temperature, pesticide consumption, domestic credit to the private sector and direct institutional credit for agriculture have a negative and significant impact on rice production in the long run.Originality/valueThe present study makes valuable and original contributions to the literature by examining the short- and long-term impacts of climate change on rice production in India over 1970-2021. To the best of the authors' knowledge, The majority of the studies examined the impact of climate change on rice production with the consideration of only mean temperature as one of the climatic variables, while in the present study, the authors have considered both minimum as well as maximum temperature. Furthermore, the authors also considered the financial variables in the model. |
英文关键词 | Climate change; Rice production; Cointegration approach; ARDL; Time series analysis; India |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Agriculture ; Business & Economics |
WOS类目 | Agricultural Economics & Policy ; Economics |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001196854900001 |
来源期刊 | CHINA AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIC REVIEW |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/307232 |
作者单位 | Punjab Agricultural University; CGIAR; International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Singh, Arshdeep,Arora, Kashish,Babu, Suresh Chandra. An analysis of long-term and short-term impact of climate change on rice production in India[J],2024,16(2). |
APA | Singh, Arshdeep,Arora, Kashish,&Babu, Suresh Chandra.(2024).An analysis of long-term and short-term impact of climate change on rice production in India.CHINA AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIC REVIEW,16(2). |
MLA | Singh, Arshdeep,et al."An analysis of long-term and short-term impact of climate change on rice production in India".CHINA AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIC REVIEW 16.2(2024). |
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