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DOI10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.111518
Seasonal resilience of temperate estuarine fish in response to climate change
Zhang, Zhaopeng; Wang, Yuanchao; Liang, Cui; Zheng, Lei; Xian, Weiwei
发表日期2024
ISSN1470-160X
EISSN1872-7034
起始页码158
卷号158
英文摘要To date, the intricacies and efficacy of how periodic seasonal environmental fluctuations affect fish populations in biogeography in the context of profound climate change remain to be elucidated. Collected monitoring data on fish resources in the temperate estuary provide an excellent opportunity to assess the effects of seasonal environmental fluctuations on populations and functional assemblages under climate change. We first developed a framework for predicting habitat suitability under different climate change scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5) for 12 fish populations in the Yangtze estuary by examining the seasonal environmental affinities of temperate estuarine fishes. We then summarized the multidimensional habitat suitability responses (HSRs) of populations and functional assemblages and discussed the possible drivers and mechanisms underlying these changes. The results suggest that the acidity of the Yangtze estuary may decline in the future as the climate warms, endangering the ecosystem that many fish species depend on. Prospective climate change may have an impact on fish population HSRs through redistribution, area changes, and centroid migration of suitable habitats; nevertheless, affinity for environmental factors may be limited to distinguishing patterns of population response in the spring. Fish (5 populations) and functional assemblages (11 assemblages) may exhibit robust adaptations or nonadaptations to climate change when seasons change, given their suitable habitat area. Furthermore, projections indicate that the majority of fish habitat centroids exhibit seasonal responses, migrating northeast in the spring and southeast in the autumn. By decentralizing climate risk to seasonal scales, seasonal resilience in the multidimensional HSRs of several fish populations (5/12) and their functional assemblages (11/16) is revealed for the first time. Efforts to mitigate climate risks and safeguard resources should take these seasonal forecasts and indicative information into account.
英文关键词the Yangtze estuary; the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios; Seasonal environmental affinity; Habitat suitability response; Functional assemblages
语种英语
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Biodiversity Conservation ; Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001154253400001
来源期刊ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/306980
作者单位Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Oceanology, CAS; Laoshan Laboratory; Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS; Chinese Academy of Sciences
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Zhang, Zhaopeng,Wang, Yuanchao,Liang, Cui,et al. Seasonal resilience of temperate estuarine fish in response to climate change[J],2024,158.
APA Zhang, Zhaopeng,Wang, Yuanchao,Liang, Cui,Zheng, Lei,&Xian, Weiwei.(2024).Seasonal resilience of temperate estuarine fish in response to climate change.ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,158.
MLA Zhang, Zhaopeng,et al."Seasonal resilience of temperate estuarine fish in response to climate change".ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS 158(2024).
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