Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | 10.1029/2023MS003875 |
Causes of Reduced Climate Sensitivity in E3SM From Version 1 to Version 2 | |
Qin, Yi; Zheng, Xue; Klein, Stephen A.; Zelinka, Mark D.; Ma, Po-Lun; Golaz, Jean-Christophe; Xie, Shaocheng | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
EISSN | 1942-2466 |
起始页码 | 16 |
结束页码 | 1 |
卷号 | 16期号:1 |
英文摘要 | The effective climate sensitivity in the Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) has decreased from 5.3 K in version 1 to 4.0 K in version 2. This reduction is mainly due to a weaker positive cloud feedback that leads to a stronger negative radiative feedback. Present-day atmosphere-only experiments with uniform 4 K sea surface temperature warming are used to separate the contributions of individual model modifications to the reduced cloud feedback. We find that the reduced cloud feedback is mostly driven by changes over the tropical marine low cloud regime, mainly related to a new trigger function for the deep convection scheme and modifications in the cloud microphysics scheme. The new trigger function helps weaken the low cloud reduction by increasing the cloud water detrainment at low levels from deep convection under warming. Changes to the formula of autoconversion rate from liquid to rain and an introduced minimum cloud droplet number concentration threshold in cloud microphysical calculations help sustain clouds against dissipation by suppressing precipitation generation with warming. In the midlatitudes, the increased Wegener-Bergeron-Findeisen (WBF) efficiency strongly reduces present-day liquid water and leads to a stronger negative cloud optical depth feedback. The reduced trade cumulus cloud feedback in v2 is closer to estimates from recent observational and large-eddy modeling studies but might not be due to the right physical reasons. The reduced mid-latitude cloud feedback may be more plausible because more realistic present-day mixed-phase clouds are produced through the change in the WBF efficiency. Understanding how the Earth responds to greenhouse gas increases is important for climate change research. In the Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model, the global temperature response to an abrupt quadrupling of atmospheric carbon dioxide has decreased from 5.3 K in version 1 to 4.0 K in version 2. This reduction is mainly because low-level clouds over the tropical oceans decrease less as the planet warms in version 2: a weaker amplifying cloud feedback. To understand the reasons behind this reduction, warming simulations were conducted to separate the contributions of individual model changes. We find that the reduced cloud feedback is primarily due to changes in the representation of the vertical movement of air through the depth of the lower atmosphere and of the microscopic properties of clouds. The findings highlight some unexpected impacts on cloud feedback resulting from modifications to the model's physics and emphasize the importance of monitoring and understanding changes in cloud feedback during model development. E3SM's effective climate sensitivity is lower in version 2 mainly due to the reduced positive cloud feedback over marine low cloud regionsThe feedback reduction is primarily due to altered cloud microphysical parameters and a new deep convection trigger functionProcess-level analysis is conducted to understand the impact of these model modifications on cloud feedbacks |
英文关键词 | CLIMATE sensitivity; cloud feedback; climate model |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001138414900001 |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF ADVANCES IN MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/306627 |
作者单位 | United States Department of Energy (DOE); Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory; United States Department of Energy (DOE); Pacific Northwest National Laboratory |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Qin, Yi,Zheng, Xue,Klein, Stephen A.,et al. Causes of Reduced Climate Sensitivity in E3SM From Version 1 to Version 2[J],2024,16(1). |
APA | Qin, Yi.,Zheng, Xue.,Klein, Stephen A..,Zelinka, Mark D..,Ma, Po-Lun.,...&Xie, Shaocheng.(2024).Causes of Reduced Climate Sensitivity in E3SM From Version 1 to Version 2.JOURNAL OF ADVANCES IN MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS,16(1). |
MLA | Qin, Yi,et al."Causes of Reduced Climate Sensitivity in E3SM From Version 1 to Version 2".JOURNAL OF ADVANCES IN MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS 16.1(2024). |
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