气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Projected Emergence Seasons of Year-Maximum Near-Surface Wind Speed

CCPortal

DOI	10.1029/2023GL107543
	Projected Emergence Seasons of Year-Maximum Near-Surface Wind Speed
	Yu, Yue; Li, Zhibo; Yan, Zixiang; Yuan, Huishuang; Shen, Cheng
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0094-8276
EISSN	1944-8007
起始页码	51
结束页码	2
卷号	51 期号:2
英文摘要	Global warming is expected to have far-reaching impacts on the frequency and intensity of extreme events, but the effects of anthropogenic warming on the emergence seasons of year-maximum near-surface wind speed (NSWS) remain poorly understood. We provide a comprehensive map of the changing emergence seasons of year-maximum NSWS using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 projections. Our analysis reveals a rapid response of synoptic-scale extreme NSWS to global warming, with consistent spatial patterns observed across various periods and warming scenarios. The most significant increase (similar to 16%) in the emergence season is projected to occur in December-January-February (DJF) over Mid-high-latitude Asia by the end of the 21st century. The study also anticipates changes in the emergence seasons of year-maximum NSWS at a regional scale. These results deepen our understanding of the complex and interconnected nature of global climate change and underscore the need for concerted efforts in addressing this pressing challenge. Global warming is indisputably triggering changes in the world's weather systems, leading to more frequent and intense extreme weather events. However, it is unclear how anthropogenic warming affects the timing of the annual strongest near-surface wind speed (NSWS). In this study, we used state-of-the-art global climate models to create a comprehensive map illustrating these NSWS patterns of response to global warming. We discovered that these changes are consistent across various time periods (near to long term) and warming scenarios (low to high warming), revealing a robust relationship between extreme NSWS and global warming. The most significant change is observed during December-January-February in Mid-high-latitude Asia, with an increase of about 16% by the end of the 21st century. Our findings suggest that we can expect more year-maximum NSWS occurs in different regions during specific seasons: December-January-February in North America and Asia, March-April-May in Africa, June-July-August in Asia and West Africa, and September-October-November in South America and Australia. These results offer valuable insights for guiding adaptation efforts even if ambitious climate actions manage to limit global warming at a lower level. Changing emergence seasons of the land year-maximum near-surface wind speed (NSWS) map is createdThere is a rapid response of emergence seasons of year-maximum NSWS to anthropogenic warmingThe strongest increase (16%) in emergence season is projected to occur in December-January-February over Mid-high-latitude Asia
英文关键词	near-surface wind speed; extreme wind; global climate model; CMIP6; projection
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Geology
WOS类目	Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS记录号	WOS:001147019800001
来源期刊	GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/306135
作者单位	Peking University; Fudan University; Yunnan University; University of Gothenburg
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yu, Yue,Li, Zhibo,Yan, Zixiang,et al. Projected Emergence Seasons of Year-Maximum Near-Surface Wind Speed[J],2024,51(2).
APA	Yu, Yue,Li, Zhibo,Yan, Zixiang,Yuan, Huishuang,&Shen, Cheng.(2024).Projected Emergence Seasons of Year-Maximum Near-Surface Wind Speed.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,51(2).
MLA	Yu, Yue,et al."Projected Emergence Seasons of Year-Maximum Near-Surface Wind Speed".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 51.2(2024).