气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Fire susceptibility modeling and mapping in Mediterranean forests of Turkey: a comprehensive study based on fuel, climatic, topographic, and anthropogenic factors

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s41207-024-00475-6
	Fire susceptibility modeling and mapping in Mediterranean forests of Turkey: a comprehensive study based on fuel, climatic, topographic, and anthropogenic factors
	Novo, Ana; Dutal, Hurem; Eskandari, Saeedeh
发表日期	2024
ISSN	2365-6433
EISSN	2365-7448
起始页码	9
结束页码	2
卷号	9 期号:2
英文摘要	Forest fires are considered to be among the most destructive factors in forest ecosystems around the world. In recent years, climate change and human activities have led to a notable increase in the occurrence and magnitude of forest fires in the Mediterranean region. In particular, the Mediterranean ecosystems of Turkey provide the proper conditions for fire ignition and propagation in natural areas. Thus, the prediction of future fires is essential to determine the high-susceptibility areas and establish preventive management actions. Therefore, this study aims to identify the fire susceptibility in the Kahramanmaras Regional Directorate of Forestry (RDF), which is a fire-prone area in Turkey. The methodology consists of combining the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method, remote sensing (RS) data, and geographic information system (GIS) analysis. First, the fire susceptibility was divided into two components: anthropogenic fire susceptibility and natural fire susceptibility (fuel, climate, and topography factors). Data on different factors were obtained from different sources and were converted into maps. In addition, data on past fires in the study area were obtained from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) hotspots. Secondly, the weights of the factors in the fire susceptibility were determined by the AHP method. Then, the susceptibility maps (anthropogenic and natural) were overlapped to obtain the fire susceptibility map. The results showed that, on the map, the very high and high classes of fire susceptibility cover 12.32% and 51.67% of the study area, respectively. In addition, the results indicated that 98% of the past fires have occurred in areas with high or very high susceptibility. The fire susceptibility map was evaluated by determining the area under the curve (AUC), which demonstrated a value of 0.858, indicating that the map shows high accuracy. The methodology developed in this research provides a baseline for the protective management of the forests in the study area. In addition, the fire susceptibility map is a valuable tool for forest managers to predict the occurrence of future fires in the Kahramanmaras RDF.
英文关键词	Forest fire; Susceptibility map; GIS; AHP; Turkey; Mediterranean Basin
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001194807700003
来源期刊	EURO-MEDITERRANEAN JOURNAL FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INTEGRATION
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/305261
作者单位	Universidade de Vigo; Kahramanmaras Sutcu Imam University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Novo, Ana,Dutal, Hurem,Eskandari, Saeedeh. Fire susceptibility modeling and mapping in Mediterranean forests of Turkey: a comprehensive study based on fuel, climatic, topographic, and anthropogenic factors[J],2024,9(2).
APA	Novo, Ana,Dutal, Hurem,&Eskandari, Saeedeh.(2024).Fire susceptibility modeling and mapping in Mediterranean forests of Turkey: a comprehensive study based on fuel, climatic, topographic, and anthropogenic factors.EURO-MEDITERRANEAN JOURNAL FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INTEGRATION,9(2).
MLA	Novo, Ana,et al."Fire susceptibility modeling and mapping in Mediterranean forests of Turkey: a comprehensive study based on fuel, climatic, topographic, and anthropogenic factors".EURO-MEDITERRANEAN JOURNAL FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INTEGRATION 9.2(2024).