气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Prediction of the potential distribution area of Glycyrrhiza inflata in China using a MaxEnt model

CCPortal

DOI	10.3389/fevo.2024.1347066
	Prediction of the potential distribution area of Glycyrrhiza inflata in China using a MaxEnt model
	Du, Zhen-zhu; Xu, Wen-bin; Wang, Yu-xia; Yan, Ping; Ma, Zhan-cang; Huang, Gang; Li, Hong-bin
发表日期	2024
ISSN	2296-701X
起始页码	12
卷号	12
英文摘要	Glycyrrhiza inflata Batalin is an important medical plant of the genus Glycyrrhiza. It is one of the key protected plants in China, distributed in the desert areas of southern Xinjiang and Dunhuang of Gansu Province. It has a strong resistance to drought, heat, and salt stresses, and plays a pivotal role in sand fixtion in desert areas. In this study, based on 157 valid distribution records and eight environmental factors including climate factors and altitude, the potential distribution area of G. inflata in the last glacial maximum, middle Holocen, modern, and future (2050) times in China were predicted, using the optimized MaxEnt model and ArcGis 10.2 software. The results showed that the predicted distribution area was highly consistent with the current distribution range, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve was 0.986, indicating that the prediction performance was excellent. The key climatic factors affecting the distribution were precipitation in December and the average annual precipitation. Meanwhile, the suitable area of G. inflata in modern times was 1,831,026 km(2), mainly distributed in Turpan-Hami Basin, Tarim Basin, and Dunhuang of Gansu Province, with Lop Nur Town of Xinjiang as the distribution center. In 2050, the potential suitable area forG. inflata in China will be 1,808,090 km(2), 250,970 km(2) of which will be highly suitable, which is 150,600 km(2) smaller than that in modern times, with a reduction rate of 60.0%. Therefore, there is a trend of great reduction in the suitable area of G. inflata. From the last glaciation maximum to the middle Holocene, the geographical distribution center shifted to the southwest margin of the Kumtag Desert, Xinjiang, then later continued to shift to the southwest. This study will provide a basis for understanding the origin and evolution of G. inflata, developing conservation strategies to minimize the impacts of environment change, and utilizing plant resource.
英文关键词	Glycyrrhiza inflata; MaxEnt model; potential distribution; geographical distribution center; climate factors
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Ecology
WOS记录号	WOS:001221019900001
来源期刊	FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/303967
作者单位	Shihezi University; Shihezi University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Du, Zhen-zhu,Xu, Wen-bin,Wang, Yu-xia,et al. Prediction of the potential distribution area of Glycyrrhiza inflata in China using a MaxEnt model[J],2024,12.
APA	Du, Zhen-zhu.,Xu, Wen-bin.,Wang, Yu-xia.,Yan, Ping.,Ma, Zhan-cang.,...&Li, Hong-bin.(2024).Prediction of the potential distribution area of Glycyrrhiza inflata in China using a MaxEnt model.FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,12.
MLA	Du, Zhen-zhu,et al."Prediction of the potential distribution area of Glycyrrhiza inflata in China using a MaxEnt model".FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION 12(2024).