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DOI10.1038/s41598-024-53939-8
Evolutionary analysis of rainstorm momentum and non-stationary variating patterns in response to climatic changes across diverse terrains
Huang, Chien-Lin; Hsu, Nien-Sheng
发表日期2024
ISSN2045-2322
起始页码14
结束页码1
卷号14期号:1
英文摘要This study aims to analyze time-series measurements encompassing rainstorm events with over a century of datasets to identify rainstorm evolution and dimensional transitions in non-stationarity. Rainstorm events are identified using partial duration series (PDS) to extract changes in rainstorm characteristics, namely maximum intensity (MAXI), duration (D), total rainfall (TR), and average rainfall intensity (ARI), in response to climate change. Ensemble empirical mode decomposition is used for trend filtering and non-stationary identification to explore spatiotemporal insight patterns. Trend models for the first-second-order moments of rainstorm characteristics are used to formulate the identified mean-variance trends using combined multi-dimensional linear-parabolic regression. Best-fitting combinations of various distributions (probability density functions) and trend models for multiple characteristic series are identified based on the Akaike information criterion. We analyze the dimensional transition in rainfall non-stationarity based on sensitivity analysis using PDS to determine its natural geophysical causes. The integrated methodology was applied to the data retrieved from nine weather stations in Taiwan. Our findings reveal rainstorm characteristics of short D but high rainfall intensity or lower MAXI but high TR across multiple stations. The parabolic trend of the first-order moment (i.e., mean) of ARI, D, and TR appears at the endpoint of the mountain ranges. Areas receiving monsoons and those on the windward plain show a rising parabolic trend in the first- and second-order moments (i.e., mean-variance) characterizing MAXI, implying that the occurrence frequency and magnitude of extreme MAXI increases. Non-stationary transitions in MAXI appear for mountain ranges exposed to the monsoon co-movement effect on both windward and leeward sides. Stations in the plains and rift valleys show upgraded and downgraded transitions in the non-stationary dimensions for D, respectively.
语种英语
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001163729100002
来源期刊SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/303022
作者单位National Taiwan University
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Huang, Chien-Lin,Hsu, Nien-Sheng. Evolutionary analysis of rainstorm momentum and non-stationary variating patterns in response to climatic changes across diverse terrains[J],2024,14(1).
APA Huang, Chien-Lin,&Hsu, Nien-Sheng.(2024).Evolutionary analysis of rainstorm momentum and non-stationary variating patterns in response to climatic changes across diverse terrains.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,14(1).
MLA Huang, Chien-Lin,et al."Evolutionary analysis of rainstorm momentum and non-stationary variating patterns in response to climatic changes across diverse terrains".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 14.1(2024).
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