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DOI10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e24532
Mortality burden attributable to exceptional PM2.5 air pollution events in Australian cities: A health impact assessment
Hertzog, Lucas; Morgan, Geoffrey G.; Yuen, Cassandra; Gopi, Karthik; Pereira, Gavin F.; Johnston, Fay H.; Cope, Martin; Chaston, Timothy B.; Vyas, Aditya; Vardoulakis, Sotiris; Hanigan, Ivan C.
发表日期2024
EISSN2405-8440
起始页码10
结束页码2
卷号10期号:2
英文摘要Background: People living in Australian cities face increased mortality risks from exposure to extreme air pollution events due to bushfires and dust storms. However, the burden of mortality attributable to exceptional PM2.5 levels has not been well characterised. We assessed the burden of mortality due to PM2.5 pollution events in Australian capital cities between 2001 and 2020. Methods: For this health impact assessment, we obtained data on daily counts of deaths for all non-accidental causes and ages from the Australian National Vital Statistics Register. Daily concentrations of PM2.5 were estimated at a 5 km grid cell, using a Random Forest statistical model of data from air pollution monitoring sites combined with a range of satellite and land userelated data. We calculated the exceptional PM2.5 levels for each extreme pollution exposure day using the deviation from a seasonal and trend loess decomposition model. The burden of mortality was examined using a relative risk concentration-response function suggested in the literature. Findings: Over the 20-year study period, we estimated 1454 (95 % CI 987, 1920) deaths in the major Australian cities attributable to exceptional PM2.5 exposure levels. The mortality burden due to PM2.5 exposure on extreme pollution days was considerable. Variations were observed across Australia. Despite relatively low daily PM2.5 levels compared to global averages, all Australian cities have extreme pollution exposure days, with PM2.5 concentrations exceeding the World Health Organisation Air Quality Guideline standard for 24-h exposure. Our analysis results indicate that nearly one-third of deaths from extreme air pollution exposure can be prevented with a 5 % reduction in PM2.5 levels on days with exceptional pollution.
英文关键词Particulate matter less than 2.5 mu m(PM2.5); Short -term air pollution exposure; Climate change; Extreme weather events; Daily mortality
语种英语
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001167108300001
来源期刊HELIYON
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/302627
作者单位Curtin University; University of Sydney; University of Sydney; Curtin University; University of Tasmania; Menzies Institute for Medical Research; Commonwealth Scientific & Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO); Australian National University
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GB/T 7714
Hertzog, Lucas,Morgan, Geoffrey G.,Yuen, Cassandra,et al. Mortality burden attributable to exceptional PM2.5 air pollution events in Australian cities: A health impact assessment[J],2024,10(2).
APA Hertzog, Lucas.,Morgan, Geoffrey G..,Yuen, Cassandra.,Gopi, Karthik.,Pereira, Gavin F..,...&Hanigan, Ivan C..(2024).Mortality burden attributable to exceptional PM2.5 air pollution events in Australian cities: A health impact assessment.HELIYON,10(2).
MLA Hertzog, Lucas,et al."Mortality burden attributable to exceptional PM2.5 air pollution events in Australian cities: A health impact assessment".HELIYON 10.2(2024).
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