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DOI10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107331
The response of global terrestrial water storage to drought based on multiple climate scenarios
发表日期2024
ISSN0169-8095
EISSN1873-2895
起始页码303
卷号303
英文摘要Drought is a hydrological hazard phenomenon that spreads across the world and will become more intense and frequent with climate change in the future. How to scientifically and effectively monitor and evaluate drought events has become a significant issue. At present, various types of drought monitoring indices have been proposed. However, the criteria for drought that occurs in each month is different and the interaction between drought and the environmental factors of earth is also difficult to understand. To solve this problem, evapotranspiration (ET), leaf area index (LAI), soil moisture (SM), precipitation (P) and surface temperature(ST) data from five different scenarios (Hist-1950, SSP126, SSP245, SSP370 and SSP585) of coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase6 (CMIP6) were obtained to construct a standardized integrated drought index (SIDI) which was used to monitor drought at global level. Then the cumulative effects of drought on terrestrial water storage in different scenarios were explored. The results showed that the global land surface was a trend of wetting from 1950 to 2014, while the trend of dryness-wetness was different under four future scenarios. Besides, the global drought frequency will first increase and then decrease in the future, and drought frequency in three periods was ranked as follows: Historical period (6.03 months) < Pre-Century (6.15 months) > Post-Century (6.11 months). Moreover, it was found that the cumulative effects of drought on terrestrial water storage diminished gradually from 6.7 months during the historical period (1950-2014) to 5.36 months in the Pre-Century (2015-2057), and further reduced to 4.87 months in the Post-Century (2058-2100), indicating a continuous decline in the stability of global terrestrial water storage in response to drought. This study has a certain reference value for the comprehensive assessment and rational allocation of global terrestrial water storage
英文关键词Drought indices; Drought frequency; Terrestrial water storage; Cumulative effects; CMIP6
语种英语
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001218913500001
来源期刊ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/302416
作者单位Northwest Normal University - China; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Lanzhou City University
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GB/T 7714
. The response of global terrestrial water storage to drought based on multiple climate scenarios[J],2024,303.
APA (2024).The response of global terrestrial water storage to drought based on multiple climate scenarios.ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,303.
MLA "The response of global terrestrial water storage to drought based on multiple climate scenarios".ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH 303(2024).
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