气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Global Warming Drives Expansion of Endangered Spruce Forest on the Tibetan Plateau

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DOI	10.3390/su16052164
	Global Warming Drives Expansion of Endangered Spruce Forest on the Tibetan Plateau
	Zhang, Huayong; Yuan, Hang; Zou, Hengchao; Zhu, Xinyu; Zhang, Yihe; Wang, Zhongyu; Liu, Zhao
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2071-1050
起始页码	16
结束页码	5
卷号	16 期号:5
英文摘要	Global warming is critical to the distribution pattern of endangered plants; therefore, understanding the future changes in the adaptive areas of endangered spruce and driving factors on the Tibetan Plateau is of great research significance for spruce species conservation and sustainability. In this study, variations in the distribution pattern of four endangered spruce species (Picea. Balfouriana, Picea. Linzhiensis, Picea. Complanata, and Picea. Aurantiaca) on the Tibetan Plateau were predicted by the MaxEnt model, and the important environmental variables affecting its geographic distribution were analyzed. We found that under the current climate conditions, the four endangered spruce species were mainly situated in the southern and southeastern Tibetan Plateau. The mean temperature of the coldest quarter was a key environmental variable affecting the geographic distribution of four endangered spruce species, with suitable growth ranges of -9-8 degrees C for P. balfouriana and -6-5 degrees C for P. linzhiensis, P. complanata, and P. aurantiaca. Under different future climate pathways, the highly suitable habitat of four endangered spruce was mainly situated in the east, south, and southeast districts of the Tibetan Plateau. With the suitable growth range of key variables continuing to expand on the Tibetan Plateau, the area of suitable habitat for each of the four endangered spruce species increases to varying degrees. Compared with the current climate, four endangered spruce species will expand to the northwest of the Tibetan Plateau under different future climate scenarios, and the degree of expansion will increase with the increase in temperature. This study not only reveals the response of suitable habitats of four endangered spruce species to global warming, but also provides scientific insights for spruce population conservation and sustainable development.
英文关键词	endangered spruce; Tibetan Plateau; global warming; MaxEnt model; suitable habitat; sustainable development
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS记录号	WOS:001182996500001
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/302188
作者单位	North China Electric Power University; Shandong University; Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT)
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhang, Huayong,Yuan, Hang,Zou, Hengchao,et al. Global Warming Drives Expansion of Endangered Spruce Forest on the Tibetan Plateau[J],2024,16(5).
APA	Zhang, Huayong.,Yuan, Hang.,Zou, Hengchao.,Zhu, Xinyu.,Zhang, Yihe.,...&Liu, Zhao.(2024).Global Warming Drives Expansion of Endangered Spruce Forest on the Tibetan Plateau.SUSTAINABILITY,16(5).
MLA	Zhang, Huayong,et al."Global Warming Drives Expansion of Endangered Spruce Forest on the Tibetan Plateau".SUSTAINABILITY 16.5(2024).