气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Synchrony in adult survival is remarkably strong among common temperate songbirds across France

CCPortal

DOI	10.1002/ecy.4305
	Synchrony in adult survival is remarkably strong among common temperate songbirds across France
	Ghislain, Manon; Bonnet, Timothee; Godeau, Ugoline; Dehorter, Olivier; Gimenez, Olivier; Henry, Pierre-Yves
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0012-9658
EISSN	1939-9170
英文摘要	Synchronous variation in demographic parameters across species increases the risk of simultaneous local extinction, which lowers the probability of subsequent recolonization. Synchrony therefore tends to destabilize meta-populations and meta-communities. Quantifying interspecific synchrony in demographic parameters, like abundance, survival, or reproduction, is thus a way to indirectly assess the stability of meta-populations and meta-communities. Moreover, it is particularly informative to identify environmental drivers of interspecific synchrony because those drivers are important across species. Using a Bayesian hierarchical multisite multispecies mark-recapture model, we investigated temporal interspecific synchrony in annual adult apparent survival for 16 common songbird species across France for the period 2001-2016. Annual adult survival was largely synchronous among species (73%, 95% credible interval [47%-94%] of the variation among years was common to all species), despite species differing in ecological niche and life history. This result was robust to different model formulations, uneven species sample sizes, and removing the long-term trend in survival. Synchrony was also shared across migratory strategies, which suggests that environmental forcing during the 4-month temperate breeding season has a large-scale, interspecific impact on songbird survival. However, the strong interspecific synchrony was not easily explained by a set of candidate weather variables we defined a priori. Spring weather variables explained only 1.4% [0.01%-5.5%] of synchrony, while the contribution of large-scale winter weather indices may have been stronger but uncertain, accounting for 12% [0.3%-37%] of synchrony. Future research could jointly model interspecific variation and covariation in breeding success, age-dependent survival, and age-dependent dispersal to understand when interspecific synchrony in abundance emerges and destabilizes meta-communities.
英文关键词	adult survival; common songbirds; demography; mark-recapture; migration; Moran effect; precipitation; temperature; temporal synchrony
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Ecology
WOS记录号	WOS:001209434900001
来源期刊	ECOLOGY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/301922
作者单位	Museum National d'Histoire Naturelle (MNHN); Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Museum National d'Histoire Naturelle (MNHN); Sorbonne Universite; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); CNRS - Institute of Ecology & Environment (INEE); Museum National d'Histoire Naturelle (MNHN); Australian National University; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); CNRS - Institute of Ecology & Environment (INEE); INRAE; INRAE; Universite PSL; Ecole Pratique des Hautes Etudes (EPHE); Institut Agro; Montpellier SupAgro; CIRAD; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement (IRD); Universite Paul-Valery; Universite de Montpellier; CNRS - Institute of Ecology & Environment (INEE)
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ghislain, Manon,Bonnet, Timothee,Godeau, Ugoline,et al. Synchrony in adult survival is remarkably strong among common temperate songbirds across France[J],2024.
APA	Ghislain, Manon,Bonnet, Timothee,Godeau, Ugoline,Dehorter, Olivier,Gimenez, Olivier,&Henry, Pierre-Yves.(2024).Synchrony in adult survival is remarkably strong among common temperate songbirds across France.ECOLOGY.
MLA	Ghislain, Manon,et al."Synchrony in adult survival is remarkably strong among common temperate songbirds across France".ECOLOGY (2024).