气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The environmental and economic effects of international cooperation on restricting fossil fuel supply

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10784-023-09623-9
	The environmental and economic effects of international cooperation on restricting fossil fuel supply
	van Asselt, Harro; Fragkos, Panagiotis; Peterson, Lauri; Fragkiadakis, Kostas
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1567-9764
EISSN	1573-1553
起始页码	24
结束页码	1
卷号	24 期号:1
英文摘要	Achieving the Paris Agreement's global temperature goal of keeping warming well below 2 degrees C and ideally 1.5 degrees C requires limiting fossil fuel production. In the United Nations climate change negotiations, this need is only beginning to be acknowledged. Nevertheless, as some countries have already adopted supply-side climate policies, initial cooperative activities have started, and calls grow for a fossil fuel treaty, questions arise about the prospects and possible effects of international cooperation on limiting fossil fuel supply. Combining qualitative insights on possible participants in a supply-side coalition with a quantitative analysis based on integrated assessment general equilibrium modelling, this article addresses these questions. Through k-means clustering based on fossil reserves per capita, fossil fuel rents and existing supply-side policies, we first identify which (groups of) countries are most likely to lead the formation of an international supply-side coalition, and which (groups of) countries are likely to follow. Drawing on these insights, we develop several scenarios for the evolution of international supply-side coalitions and compare these to a business-as-usual scenario. By doing so, we demonstrate the global and regional environmental, trade and macroeconomic effects of international cooperation on limiting fossil fuel supply and combining fossil supply restrictions with carbon pricing to meet the Paris goals. Our findings underscore the importance of pursuing supply-side and ambitious demand-side climate policies in parallel, and identify the scope and coverage, size of the coalition, and incentives for participation as key design elements for an international supply-side coalition.
英文关键词	Climate policy; Fossil fuels; Integrated assessment models; Paris Agreement; UNFCCC
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Government & Law
WOS类目	Economics ; Environmental Studies ; Law ; Political Science
WOS记录号	WOS:001153835300001
来源期刊	INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS-POLITICS LAW AND ECONOMICS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/301366
作者单位	University of Cambridge; University of Eastern Finland; Uppsala University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	van Asselt, Harro,Fragkos, Panagiotis,Peterson, Lauri,et al. The environmental and economic effects of international cooperation on restricting fossil fuel supply[J],2024,24(1).
APA	van Asselt, Harro,Fragkos, Panagiotis,Peterson, Lauri,&Fragkiadakis, Kostas.(2024).The environmental and economic effects of international cooperation on restricting fossil fuel supply.INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS-POLITICS LAW AND ECONOMICS,24(1).
MLA	van Asselt, Harro,et al."The environmental and economic effects of international cooperation on restricting fossil fuel supply".INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS-POLITICS LAW AND ECONOMICS 24.1(2024).