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DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169879 |
Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 | |
Bun, Rostyslav; Marland, Gregg; Oda, Tomohiro; See, Linda; Puliafito, Enrique; Nahorski, Zbigniew; Jonas, Mathias; Kovalyshyn, Vasyl; Ialongo, Iolanda; Yashchun, Orysia; Romanchuk, Zoriana | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 0048-9697 |
EISSN | 1879-1026 |
起始页码 | 914 |
卷号 | 914 |
英文摘要 | Accounting and reporting of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are mandatory for Parties under the Paris Agreement. Emissions reporting is important for understanding the global carbon cycle and for addressing global climate change. However, in a period of open conflict or war, military emissions increase significantly and the accounting system is not currently designed to account adequately for this source. In this paper we analyze how, during the first 18 months of the 2022/2023 full-scale war in Ukraine, GHG national inventory reporting to the UNFCCC was affected. We estimated the decrease of emissions due to a reduction in traditional human activities. We identified major, war -related, emission processes from the territory of Ukraine not covered by current GHG inventory guidelines and that are not likely to be included in national inventory reports. If these emissions are included, they will likely be incorporated in a way that is not transparent with potentially high uncertainty. We analyze publicly available data and use expert judgment to estimate such emissions from (1) the use of bombs, missiles, barrel artillery, and mines; (2) the consumption of oil products for military operations; (3) fires at petroleum storage depots and refineries; (4) fires in buildings and infrastructure facilities; (5) fires on forest and agricultural lands; and (6) the decomposition of war -related garbage/waste. Our estimate of these war -related emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide for the first 18 months of the war in Ukraine is 77 MtCO2-eq. with a relative uncertainty of +/-22 % (95 % confidence interval). |
英文关键词 | Wartime GHG emissions; GHG emission reporting; Unreported GHG emissions; Uncertainty in GHG emissions; War in Ukraine |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001164299300001 |
来源期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/301125 |
作者单位 | Ministry of Education & Science of Ukraine; Lviv Polytechnic National University; WSB University; University of North Carolina; Appalachian State University; Universities Space Research Association (USRA); University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park; Osaka University; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Tecnicas (CONICET); Polish Academy of Sciences; Systems Research Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences; Ministry of Education & Science of Ukraine; Lviv State University of Life Safety; Finnish Meteorological Institute |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bun, Rostyslav,Marland, Gregg,Oda, Tomohiro,et al. Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022[J],2024,914. |
APA | Bun, Rostyslav.,Marland, Gregg.,Oda, Tomohiro.,See, Linda.,Puliafito, Enrique.,...&Romanchuk, Zoriana.(2024).Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,914. |
MLA | Bun, Rostyslav,et al."Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 914(2024). |
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