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DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169879
Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022
Bun, Rostyslav; Marland, Gregg; Oda, Tomohiro; See, Linda; Puliafito, Enrique; Nahorski, Zbigniew; Jonas, Mathias; Kovalyshyn, Vasyl; Ialongo, Iolanda; Yashchun, Orysia; Romanchuk, Zoriana
发表日期2024
ISSN0048-9697
EISSN1879-1026
起始页码914
卷号914
英文摘要Accounting and reporting of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are mandatory for Parties under the Paris Agreement. Emissions reporting is important for understanding the global carbon cycle and for addressing global climate change. However, in a period of open conflict or war, military emissions increase significantly and the accounting system is not currently designed to account adequately for this source. In this paper we analyze how, during the first 18 months of the 2022/2023 full-scale war in Ukraine, GHG national inventory reporting to the UNFCCC was affected. We estimated the decrease of emissions due to a reduction in traditional human activities. We identified major, war -related, emission processes from the territory of Ukraine not covered by current GHG inventory guidelines and that are not likely to be included in national inventory reports. If these emissions are included, they will likely be incorporated in a way that is not transparent with potentially high uncertainty. We analyze publicly available data and use expert judgment to estimate such emissions from (1) the use of bombs, missiles, barrel artillery, and mines; (2) the consumption of oil products for military operations; (3) fires at petroleum storage depots and refineries; (4) fires in buildings and infrastructure facilities; (5) fires on forest and agricultural lands; and (6) the decomposition of war -related garbage/waste. Our estimate of these war -related emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide for the first 18 months of the war in Ukraine is 77 MtCO2-eq. with a relative uncertainty of +/-22 % (95 % confidence interval).
英文关键词Wartime GHG emissions; GHG emission reporting; Unreported GHG emissions; Uncertainty in GHG emissions; War in Ukraine
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001164299300001
来源期刊SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/301125
作者单位Ministry of Education & Science of Ukraine; Lviv Polytechnic National University; WSB University; University of North Carolina; Appalachian State University; Universities Space Research Association (USRA); University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park; Osaka University; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Tecnicas (CONICET); Polish Academy of Sciences; Systems Research Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences; Ministry of Education & Science of Ukraine; Lviv State University of Life Safety; Finnish Meteorological Institute
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GB/T 7714
Bun, Rostyslav,Marland, Gregg,Oda, Tomohiro,et al. Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022[J],2024,914.
APA Bun, Rostyslav.,Marland, Gregg.,Oda, Tomohiro.,See, Linda.,Puliafito, Enrique.,...&Romanchuk, Zoriana.(2024).Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,914.
MLA Bun, Rostyslav,et al."Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 914(2024).
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