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DOI10.1007/s40808-024-02017-z
Evaluating spatial resolution and imperfect detection effects on the predictive performance of inhomogeneous spatial point process models trained with simulated presence-only data
Bourobou, Judi Armel Bourobou; Zinzinhedo, Mahoukpego Luc; Fandohan, Adande Belarmain; Kakai, Romain Lucas Glele
发表日期2024
ISSN2363-6203
EISSN2363-6211
英文摘要Species distribution models (SDMs) are crucial in ecology, conservation, and ecosystem management. Numerous SDMs have been developed over time, and studies have shown that these tools can be affected by a range of factors, such as data type, spatial resolution, number of explanatory variables, sample characteristics, and collinearity between environmental variables. New SDMs have often been developed to address some of these issues. Understanding the performance of new statistical tools is crucial for researchers in various fields. Thus, we assessed the predictive ability of the Poisson point process and log Gaussian Cox process models, considered as new SDMs, by simulating two factors, spatial resolution and imperfect detection, which are likely to have significant effects on SDMs, and considering Gabon as the study area. The observed model performance metrics, such as the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Pearson correlation (CORR) between the true and predicted intensities, were used to evaluate the predictive performance of these models. The results showed that, although most of these models failed to estimate the intercept alpha(0) and covariate coefficients (beta(x)x(z) correctly, they at least had the merit of demonstrated good performance (AUC more than 70%, CORR more than 67%, and MAE less than 0.61%). However, the spatial resolution of the environmental variables and imperfect detection of simulated species occurrences significantly affected the predictive performance of the two models (P < .0001). This study offers important insights for ecologist modellers, environmentalists, and conservators.
英文关键词Spatial resolution; Presence-only data; Inhomogeneous spatial point process models; Simulation; Species distribution modeling
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001226867800001
来源期刊MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/300240
作者单位University of Abomey Calavi
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GB/T 7714
Bourobou, Judi Armel Bourobou,Zinzinhedo, Mahoukpego Luc,Fandohan, Adande Belarmain,et al. Evaluating spatial resolution and imperfect detection effects on the predictive performance of inhomogeneous spatial point process models trained with simulated presence-only data[J],2024.
APA Bourobou, Judi Armel Bourobou,Zinzinhedo, Mahoukpego Luc,Fandohan, Adande Belarmain,&Kakai, Romain Lucas Glele.(2024).Evaluating spatial resolution and imperfect detection effects on the predictive performance of inhomogeneous spatial point process models trained with simulated presence-only data.MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT.
MLA Bourobou, Judi Armel Bourobou,et al."Evaluating spatial resolution and imperfect detection effects on the predictive performance of inhomogeneous spatial point process models trained with simulated presence-only data".MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT (2024).
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