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DOI | 10.1038/s41598-024-58790-5 |
Assessing scale-dependency of climate risks in coffee-based agroforestry systems | |
Byrareddy, Vivekananda M.; Kath, Jarrod; Kouadio, Louis; Mushtaq, Shahbaz; Geethalakshmi, Vellingiri | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 2045-2322 |
起始页码 | 14 |
结束页码 | 1 |
卷号 | 14期号:1 |
英文摘要 | Agroforestry is a management strategy for mitigating the negative impacts of climate and adapting to sustainable farming systems. The successful implementation of agroforestry strategies requires that climate risks are appropriately assessed. The spatial scale, a critical determinant influencing climate impact assessments and, subsequently, agroforestry strategies, has been an overlooked dimension in the literature. In this study, climate risk impacts on robusta coffee production were investigated at different spatial scales in coffee-based agroforestry systems across India. Data from 314 coffee farms distributed across the districts of Chikmagalur and Coorg (Karnataka state) and Wayanad (Kerala state) were collected during the 2015/2016 to 2017/2018 coffee seasons and were used to quantify the key climate drivers of coffee yield. Projected climate data for two scenarios of change in global climate corresponding to (1) current baseline conditions (1985-2015) and (2) global mean temperatures 2 degrees C above preindustrial levels were then used to assess impacts on robusta coffee yield. Results indicated that at the district scale rainfall variability predominantly constrained coffee productivity, while at a broader regional scale, maximum temperature was the most important factor. Under a 2 degrees C global warming scenario relative to the baseline (1985-2015) climatic conditions, the changes in coffee yield exhibited spatial-scale dependent disparities. Whilst modest increases in yield (up to 5%) were projected from district-scale models, at the regional scale, reductions in coffee yield by 10-20% on average were found. These divergent impacts of climate risks underscore the imperative for coffee-based agroforestry systems to develop strategies that operate effectively at various scales to ensure better resilience to the changing climate. |
英文关键词 | Coffea canephora; Agroforestry; Climate variability; Climate change; Adaptive management |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001197971100014 |
来源期刊 | SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/299834 |
作者单位 | University of Southern Queensland; University of Southern Queensland; University of Southern Queensland; Tamil Nadu Agricultural University |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Byrareddy, Vivekananda M.,Kath, Jarrod,Kouadio, Louis,et al. Assessing scale-dependency of climate risks in coffee-based agroforestry systems[J],2024,14(1). |
APA | Byrareddy, Vivekananda M.,Kath, Jarrod,Kouadio, Louis,Mushtaq, Shahbaz,&Geethalakshmi, Vellingiri.(2024).Assessing scale-dependency of climate risks in coffee-based agroforestry systems.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,14(1). |
MLA | Byrareddy, Vivekananda M.,et al."Assessing scale-dependency of climate risks in coffee-based agroforestry systems".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 14.1(2024). |
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