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| DOI | 10.1016/j.jconhyd.2023.104289 |
| Quantifying climate change impacts on future water resources and salinity transport in a high semi-arid watershed | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 0169-7722 |
| EISSN | 1873-6009 |
| 起始页码 | 261 |
| 卷号 | 261 |
| 英文摘要 | High salinity mobilization and movement from salt-laden deposits in semi-arid landscapes impair soils and water resources worldwide. Semi-arid regions worldwide are expected to experience rising temperatures and lower precipitation, impacting water supply and spatio-temporal patterns of salinity loads and affecting downstream water quality. This study quantifies the impact of future climate on hydrologic fluxes and salt loads in the Gunnison River Watershed (GRW) (14,608 km(2)), Colorado, using the APEX-MODFLOW-Salt hydro-chemical watershed model and three different CMIP5 climate models projection downscaled by Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) for the period 2020-2099. The APEX-MODFLOW-Salt model accounts for the reactive transport of major salt ions (SO42-, Cl, CO32-, HCO3-, Ca2+, Na+, Mg2+, and K+) to streams via surface runoff, rainfall erosional runoff, soil lateral flow, quick return flow and groundwater-stream exchange. Model results are analyzed for spatial and temporal trends in water yield and salt loading pathways. Although streamflow is primarily derived from surface runoff (65%), the predominant source of salt loads is the aquifer (73%) due to elevated concentrations of groundwater salt. Annual salt loading from the watershed is 582 Mkg, approximately 10% of the salt load in the Colorado River measured at Lee's Ferry, AZ. For future climate scenarios, annual salt loads from the watershed increased between 4.1% and 9.6% from the historical period due to increased salt loading from groundwater and quick return flow. From the results, applying the APEX-MODFLOW-Salt model with downscaled future climate forcings can be a helpful modeling framework for investigating hydrology and salt mobilization, transport, and export in historical and predictive settings for salt-affected watersheds. |
| 英文关键词 | APEX; Salinity; MODFLOW; Groundwater; UCRB; Climate |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Water Resources |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001170876600001 |
| 来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF CONTAMINANT HYDROLOGY
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| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/299426 |
| 作者单位 | Colorado State University |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Quantifying climate change impacts on future water resources and salinity transport in a high semi-arid watershed[J],2024,261. |
| APA | (2024).Quantifying climate change impacts on future water resources and salinity transport in a high semi-arid watershed.JOURNAL OF CONTAMINANT HYDROLOGY,261. |
| MLA | "Quantifying climate change impacts on future water resources and salinity transport in a high semi-arid watershed".JOURNAL OF CONTAMINANT HYDROLOGY 261(2024). |
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