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| DOI | 10.1007/s11027-024-10119-3 |
| Assessing compounding climate-related stresses and development pathways on the power sector in the central US | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 1381-2386 |
| EISSN | 1573-1596 |
| 起始页码 | 29 |
| 结束页码 | 4 |
| 卷号 | 29期号:4 |
| 英文摘要 | Future configurations of the power system in the central region of the USA are dependent on relative costs of alternative power generation technologies, energy and environmental policies, and multiple climate-induced stresses. Higher demand in the summer months combined with compounding supply shocks in several power generation technologies can potentially cause a perfect storm leading to failure of the power system. Potential future climate stress must be incorporated in investment decisions and energy system planning and operation. We assess how projected future climate impacts on the power system would affect alternative pathways for the electricity sector considering a broad range of generation technologies and changes in demand. We calculate a potential supply gap metric for each pathway, system component, and sub-region of the US Heartland due to climate-induced effects on electricity demand and power generation. Potential supply gaps range from 5% in the North Central region under mild changes in climate to 21% in the Lakes-Mid Atlantic region under more severe climate change. We find increases in electricity demand to be more important in determining the size of the potential supply gap than stresses on power generation, while larger shares of renewables in the power system contribute to lower supply gaps. Our results provide a first step toward considering systemic climate impacts that may require changes in managing the grid or on potential additional capacity/reserves that may be needed. |
| 英文关键词 | Power generation; Electricity demand; Climate stress; US Heartland |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001186251200001 |
| 来源期刊 | MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/298890 |
| 作者单位 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT); Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Assessing compounding climate-related stresses and development pathways on the power sector in the central US[J],2024,29(4). |
| APA | (2024).Assessing compounding climate-related stresses and development pathways on the power sector in the central US.MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,29(4). |
| MLA | "Assessing compounding climate-related stresses and development pathways on the power sector in the central US".MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE 29.4(2024). |
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