气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Assessment of climate damage in China based on integrated assessment framework

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.accre.2024.01.012
	Assessment of climate damage in China based on integrated assessment framework
	Liu, Jie; Shi, Xiang-Zhen; Yang, Li; Liu, Chang-Yi; Wang, Jin-Cheng; Zhu, Rui-Min; Shi, Xue-Li; Liu, Qiu-Feng
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1674-9278
起始页码	15
结束页码	1
卷号	15 期号:1
英文摘要	Developing a localized and consistent model framework for climate loss and damage assessment is crucial for the policy-making of climate change mitigation and adaptation. This study introduces a comprehensive, multidisciplinary Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) framework for evaluating climate damage in China, utilizing BCC-SESM climate model and FUND sectoral climate damage model under the SSP2-RCPs scenario. Employing a bottom-up approach, the research estimates climate damage across eight major sectors, recalibrates sectoral climate damage functions and parameters for China, and elucidates distinctions among direct climate loss, market climate loss, and aggregate climate loss. The findings reveal that the total climate damage function for China follows a quadratic pattern in response to temperature rise. By 2050, the estimated climate damage is projected to be 5.4%, 5.7%, and 8.2% of GDP under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5, respectively. Additionally, both direct and market climate losses are projected to remain below 2% of GDP by 2050, while the aggregate climate loss could reach as high as 8.2%, which is predominantly attributed to non-market sectors. From a sectoral perspective, under the RCP8.5 scenario, human health damage constitutes the largest share (61.9%) of the total climate loss by 2050, followed by sea-level rise damage (18.6%). This study sheds lights on the adaptation policy that should attach importance to the non-market sectors, particularly focusing on human health and sea-level rise.
英文关键词	Climate loss and damage; Integrated assessment model (IAM); FUND model; Representative concentration pathways (RCPs) scenario; BCC-SESM
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001189123800001
来源期刊	ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/298429
作者单位	Shaanxi Normal University; Chinese Academy of Social Sciences; University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences; Xinjiang University; China Meteorological Administration; China Meteorological Administration
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu, Jie,Shi, Xiang-Zhen,Yang, Li,et al. Assessment of climate damage in China based on integrated assessment framework[J],2024,15(1).
APA	Liu, Jie.,Shi, Xiang-Zhen.,Yang, Li.,Liu, Chang-Yi.,Wang, Jin-Cheng.,...&Liu, Qiu-Feng.(2024).Assessment of climate damage in China based on integrated assessment framework.ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH,15(1).
MLA	Liu, Jie,et al."Assessment of climate damage in China based on integrated assessment framework".ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH 15.1(2024).