气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Use of intensity analysis and transfer matrix to characterize land conversion in the Aral Sea Basin under changing climate

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DOI	10.1007/s40808-024-02019-x
	Use of intensity analysis and transfer matrix to characterize land conversion in the Aral Sea Basin under changing climate
	Berdimbetov, Timur; Shelton, Sherly; Pushpawela, Buddhi; Rathnayake, Upaka; Koshim, Asyma G.; Yegizbayeva, Asset; Nietullaeva, Sahibjamal
发表日期	2024
ISSN	2363-6203
EISSN	2363-6211
英文摘要	An effective approach to identifying the size and intensity of land transitions is vital for land use and management decisions. This study used a transfer matrix and intensity analysis to quantify the land conversion from 1995 to 2015 in the Aral Sea Basin (ASB). The analysis is based on annual land cover data from the European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative and normalized density vegetation index data from Global Inventory Modelling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS). According to our analysis, 42.39% of the total land area of ASB is covered by bareland (762,300 km2). Due to the most extensive transition intensity from water to bareland, it expanded gradually by 6,100 km2 during the 1995 to 2015 period. Furthermore, we found expanding cropland and urban area, where the urban area continuously expanded from 12,000 to 61,700 km2 during 20-year periods. In contrast, forest and water areas decreased continuously, where the forest (70,900 km2) and water area 67,900 km2) decreased by 0.12% and 3.77%, respectively. Interestingly, we found that the loss of forests contributed to the cropland and urban areas's gain while water bodies were transformed into barren and shrubland areas and, further, developed into deserts. This study enriches the methodology of intensity analysis and provides a scientific reference for the adaptation, mitigation, and sustainable development and management of land resources in ASB.
英文关键词	Aral sea basin; Land degradation; Land cover transition; NDVI; Urbanization
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001226679200003
来源期刊	MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/297997
作者单位	Tashkent University of Information Technologies; University of Nebraska System; University of Nebraska Lincoln; Atlantic Technological University (ATU); Al-Farabi Kazakh National University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Berdimbetov, Timur,Shelton, Sherly,Pushpawela, Buddhi,et al. Use of intensity analysis and transfer matrix to characterize land conversion in the Aral Sea Basin under changing climate[J],2024.
APA	Berdimbetov, Timur.,Shelton, Sherly.,Pushpawela, Buddhi.,Rathnayake, Upaka.,Koshim, Asyma G..,...&Nietullaeva, Sahibjamal.(2024).Use of intensity analysis and transfer matrix to characterize land conversion in the Aral Sea Basin under changing climate.MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT.
MLA	Berdimbetov, Timur,et al."Use of intensity analysis and transfer matrix to characterize land conversion in the Aral Sea Basin under changing climate".MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT (2024).