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| DOI | 10.3390/atmos15010128 |
| On the Precursor Environments to Mountain Lee Wave Clouds in Central Iberia under CMIP6 Projections | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| EISSN | 2073-4433 |
| 起始页码 | 15 |
| 结束页码 | 1 |
| 卷号 | 15期号:1 |
| 英文摘要 | Mountain lee waves present significant hazards to aviation, often inducing turbulence and aircraft icing. The current study focuses on understanding the potential impact of global climate change on the precursor environments to mountain lee wave cloud episodes over central Iberia. We examine the suitability of several Global Climate Models (GCMs) from CMIP6 in predicting these environments using the ERA5 reanalysis as a benchmark for performance. The dataset is divided into two periods: historical data (2001-2014) and projections for the SSP5-8.5 future climate scenario (2015-2100). The variations and trends in precursor environments between historical data and future climate scenarios are exposed, with a particular focus on the expansion of the Azores High towards the Iberian Peninsula, resulting in increased zonal winds throughout the Iberian Peninsula in the future. However, the increase in zonal wind is insufficient to modify the wind pattern, so future mountain lee wave cloud events will not vary significantly. The relative humidity trends reveal no significant changes. Moreover, the risk of icing precursor environments connected with mountain lee wave clouds is expected to decrease in the future, due to rising temperatures. Our results highlight that the EC-EARTH3 GCM reveals the closest alignment with ERA5 data, and statistically significant differences between the historical and future climate scenario periods are presented, making EC-EARTH3 a robust candidate for conducting future studies on the precursor environments to mountain lee wave cloud events. |
| 英文关键词 | mountain lee waves; CMIP6; Global Climate Models; SSP5-8.5 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001148972900001 |
| 来源期刊 | ATMOSPHERE
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/297662 |
| 作者单位 | Complutense University of Madrid; Universidad de Valladolid; Agencia Estatal de Meteorologia (AEMET); Complutense University of Madrid |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . On the Precursor Environments to Mountain Lee Wave Clouds in Central Iberia under CMIP6 Projections[J],2024,15(1). |
| APA | (2024).On the Precursor Environments to Mountain Lee Wave Clouds in Central Iberia under CMIP6 Projections.ATMOSPHERE,15(1). |
| MLA | "On the Precursor Environments to Mountain Lee Wave Clouds in Central Iberia under CMIP6 Projections".ATMOSPHERE 15.1(2024). |
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