气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Investigation of the long-term supply-demand relationships of ecosystem services at multiple scales under SSP-RCP scenarios to promote ecological sustainability in China's largest city cluster

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.scs.2024.105295
	Investigation of the long-term supply-demand relationships of ecosystem services at multiple scales under SSP-RCP scenarios to promote ecological sustainability in China's largest city cluster
	Lu, Zhouyangfan; Li, Wei; Yue, Rongwu
发表日期	2024
ISSN	2210-6707
EISSN	2210-6715
起始页码	104
卷号	104
英文摘要	Ensuring ecological sustainability in urbanizing mega-regions like the Yangtze River Middle Reaches (YRMR) city cluster is crucial. Distinct dynamics in ecosystem service supply and demand (ESSD) have emerged due to land use changes, climate shifts, and policy drivers. Addressing potential imbalances and mismatches necessitates strategic ESSD regulation. However, it remains unclear how the future ESSD relationship will evolve under the combined impact of climate change and rapid urbanization. To improve demand simulation, this study examined causal links between socio-economic factors, land use, and ES demands from 2000 to 2018 using a system dynamics model. Six ES supplies and demands were simulated under the SSP-RCP scenarios in 2018-2050. Imbalances and mismatches in ESSD were assessed at grid, city, and sub-city cluster scales. The results showed sizable deficits in crop production (CP) and nature access (NA) services at three scales. A synergistic relationship between CP supply and water yield (WY) demand suggested that increased agricultural production could strain water resources. Growing demand for carbon storage (CS) and WY would worsen ESSD imbalance. To maintain long-term ESSD balance, strict carbon policies, land-use restrictions, cross-scale collaboration are needed. A tiered zoning approach based on supply-demand bundles can enhance ecosystem management in a socioecological context.
英文关键词	Ecosystem services; Supply -demand relationships; System dynamics model; Multi -scale analysis; Bundles; Trade-off and synergy
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Construction & Building Technology ; Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS类目	Construction & Building Technology ; Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels
WOS记录号	WOS:001196560700001
来源期刊	SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/297539
作者单位	Beijing Normal University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lu, Zhouyangfan,Li, Wei,Yue, Rongwu. Investigation of the long-term supply-demand relationships of ecosystem services at multiple scales under SSP-RCP scenarios to promote ecological sustainability in China's largest city cluster[J],2024,104.
APA	Lu, Zhouyangfan,Li, Wei,&Yue, Rongwu.(2024).Investigation of the long-term supply-demand relationships of ecosystem services at multiple scales under SSP-RCP scenarios to promote ecological sustainability in China's largest city cluster.SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY,104.
MLA	Lu, Zhouyangfan,et al."Investigation of the long-term supply-demand relationships of ecosystem services at multiple scales under SSP-RCP scenarios to promote ecological sustainability in China's largest city cluster".SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY 104(2024).