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DOI | 10.1007/s11269-024-03874-0 |
Novel Perspectives on Environmental Dynamic Resilience: Adapting Urban Water Systems to a Changing Climate | |
Stojkovic, Milan; Mijic, Ana; Dobson, Barnaby; Marjanovic, Dusan; Majkic-Dursun, Brankica | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 0920-4741 |
EISSN | 1573-1650 |
英文摘要 | Climate change imposes significant pressure on existing urban water systems. Prolonged low-flow periods, attributed to shifting climatic conditions, swiftly reduce the available water storage in reservoirs and threaten the quality of river water. This paper introduces a framework for assessing the environmental dynamic resilience (EDR) of urban water systems. The EDR framework stands as a state-of-the-art risk assessment tool that incorporates the dynamic nature and recovery time of water systems. The framework employs outputs from a series of models, including climate, hydrological, and urban water system models, as input data. To validate the findings from the proposed framework, environmental reliability (ER) is utilized as a conventional risk metric in the realm of water resource management. London, UK, serves as a case area to showcase the effectiveness of the proposed climate-related risk metric. The findings suggest a projected 10.5% decrease in the overall EDR during the near-future period (2020-2049) when compared to the baseline period (1975-2004). The sharpest declines in EDR are anticipated for the water quality (15.4%) and reservoir parts (13.6%) of the urban water system. Conversely, ER aligns with the insights from the introduced framework, suggesting a reliability reduction of approximately 6.8%. Nevertheless, ER neglects the recovery time essential for attaining full system functionality, leading to a potential underestimation of the climate-related risks to the urban water system. |
英文关键词 | Environmental dynamic resilience; Environmental reliability; climate-related risks; Urban water system; CityWat; London |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Water Resources |
WOS类目 | Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001221285000001 |
来源期刊 | WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/297376 |
作者单位 | Imperial College London |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Stojkovic, Milan,Mijic, Ana,Dobson, Barnaby,et al. Novel Perspectives on Environmental Dynamic Resilience: Adapting Urban Water Systems to a Changing Climate[J],2024. |
APA | Stojkovic, Milan,Mijic, Ana,Dobson, Barnaby,Marjanovic, Dusan,&Majkic-Dursun, Brankica.(2024).Novel Perspectives on Environmental Dynamic Resilience: Adapting Urban Water Systems to a Changing Climate.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT. |
MLA | Stojkovic, Milan,et al."Novel Perspectives on Environmental Dynamic Resilience: Adapting Urban Water Systems to a Changing Climate".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT (2024). |
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