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DOI10.1007/s11269-024-03874-0
Novel Perspectives on Environmental Dynamic Resilience: Adapting Urban Water Systems to a Changing Climate
Stojkovic, Milan; Mijic, Ana; Dobson, Barnaby; Marjanovic, Dusan; Majkic-Dursun, Brankica
发表日期2024
ISSN0920-4741
EISSN1573-1650
英文摘要Climate change imposes significant pressure on existing urban water systems. Prolonged low-flow periods, attributed to shifting climatic conditions, swiftly reduce the available water storage in reservoirs and threaten the quality of river water. This paper introduces a framework for assessing the environmental dynamic resilience (EDR) of urban water systems. The EDR framework stands as a state-of-the-art risk assessment tool that incorporates the dynamic nature and recovery time of water systems. The framework employs outputs from a series of models, including climate, hydrological, and urban water system models, as input data. To validate the findings from the proposed framework, environmental reliability (ER) is utilized as a conventional risk metric in the realm of water resource management. London, UK, serves as a case area to showcase the effectiveness of the proposed climate-related risk metric. The findings suggest a projected 10.5% decrease in the overall EDR during the near-future period (2020-2049) when compared to the baseline period (1975-2004). The sharpest declines in EDR are anticipated for the water quality (15.4%) and reservoir parts (13.6%) of the urban water system. Conversely, ER aligns with the insights from the introduced framework, suggesting a reliability reduction of approximately 6.8%. Nevertheless, ER neglects the recovery time essential for attaining full system functionality, leading to a potential underestimation of the climate-related risks to the urban water system.
英文关键词Environmental dynamic resilience; Environmental reliability; climate-related risks; Urban water system; CityWat; London
语种英语
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Water Resources
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS记录号WOS:001221285000001
来源期刊WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/297376
作者单位Imperial College London
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Stojkovic, Milan,Mijic, Ana,Dobson, Barnaby,et al. Novel Perspectives on Environmental Dynamic Resilience: Adapting Urban Water Systems to a Changing Climate[J],2024.
APA Stojkovic, Milan,Mijic, Ana,Dobson, Barnaby,Marjanovic, Dusan,&Majkic-Dursun, Brankica.(2024).Novel Perspectives on Environmental Dynamic Resilience: Adapting Urban Water Systems to a Changing Climate.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT.
MLA Stojkovic, Milan,et al."Novel Perspectives on Environmental Dynamic Resilience: Adapting Urban Water Systems to a Changing Climate".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT (2024).
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