气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Impact of carbon pricing on mitigation potential in Chinese agriculture: A model-based multi-scenario analysis at provincial scale

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.eiar.2023.107409
	Impact of carbon pricing on mitigation potential in Chinese agriculture: A model-based multi-scenario analysis at provincial scale
	Deng, Yizhi; Liu, Jing-Yu; Xie, Wei; Liu, Xiaomuzi; Lv, Jian; Zhang, Runsen; Wu, Wenchao; Geng, Yong; Boulange, Julien
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0195-9255
EISSN	1873-6432
起始页码	105
卷号	105
英文摘要	China's 'dual carbon' goals seek to achieve peak CO2 emissions before 2030 and carbon neutrality before 2060. China is one of the world's largest emitters of agricultural greenhouse gases. Although existing studies have evaluated GHG mitigation potential in Chinese agriculture, few built models by incorporating socioeconomic conditions, technology diffusion, and carbon pricing policies. This study developed a bottom-up Agricultural Technology Optimisation Model (ATOM) for GHG mitigation, which selected optimal mitigation measure portfolios by minimising costs based on inventories of agricultural GHG and mitigation measures. It was employed to quantify long-term mitigation potential in Chinese agriculture under a range of socioeconomic and carbon pricing scenarios. GHG emissions in Chinese agriculture totalled 720.3 MtCO2e in 2017. Assuming an SSP2 scenario, the maximum technical mitigation potential of the evaluated measures in 2060 will be 554.1 MtCO2e, with 78.2% contributed by mitigation measures for crop production. 38.9% of this potential is possibly achievable with negative cost mitigation measures, and carbon pricing can help achieve greater emission reductions. Chinese agriculture theoretically possesses significant mitigation potential, but the implementation of mitigation measures may be hindered by multiple obstacles. The government should adopt counterstrategies to ensure that the agricultural sector remains on track to meet China's carbon neutrality goal.
英文关键词	China; Agriculture; Mitigation potential; Bottom-up model; Carbon pricing
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Studies
WOS记录号	WOS:001166732500001
来源期刊	ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/297048
作者单位	Shanghai Jiao Tong University; Peking University; Institut Polytechnique de Paris; Ecole Polytechnique; University of Tokyo; Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences; Shanghai Jiao Tong University; Shandong University; Tokyo University of Agriculture & Technology
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Deng, Yizhi,Liu, Jing-Yu,Xie, Wei,et al. Impact of carbon pricing on mitigation potential in Chinese agriculture: A model-based multi-scenario analysis at provincial scale[J],2024,105.
APA	Deng, Yizhi.,Liu, Jing-Yu.,Xie, Wei.,Liu, Xiaomuzi.,Lv, Jian.,...&Boulange, Julien.(2024).Impact of carbon pricing on mitigation potential in Chinese agriculture: A model-based multi-scenario analysis at provincial scale.ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW,105.
MLA	Deng, Yizhi,et al."Impact of carbon pricing on mitigation potential in Chinese agriculture: A model-based multi-scenario analysis at provincial scale".ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW 105(2024).